Marlins vs. Diamondbacks: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Marlins vs. Diamondbacks MLB game on Monday, September 14, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Marlins
Sandy Alcantara 13-10, 3.78 ERA
7
8
Chase Field
D-Backs
Corbin Burnes 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Chase Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Marlins
0 3 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 7 12 2
D-Backs
0 0 3 0 1 0 0 2 2 8 11 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Marlins
    0%
  • D-Backs
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Corbin Carroll homers to right field. Tommy Troy scores.
Quick Box Score
Marlins Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 G. Pauley 1B0000000.0000.000
2 H. Hernández LF4010011.2500.650
3 X. Edwards 2B5021002.4000.800
4 E. Ruiz RF1000001.0000.000
5 O. Lopez SS5000003.0000.000
6 J. Marsee CF4231100.7502.750
7 J. Sanoja 3B4223100.5002.250
8 J. Mack C2111010.5001.000
9 A. Ramírez DH4010002.2500.500
D-Backs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 L. Nootbaar LF5232101.6001.800
2 K. Marte 2B5010000.2000.600
3 T. Troy PR0100000.0000.000
4 G. Perdomo SS2000022.0000.500
5 C. Carroll RF5123101.4001.400
6 N. Arenado 3B4010003.2500.500
7 T. Tawa 1B3100010.0000.250
8 P. Smith DH4110001.2500.750
9 J. Lawlar CF4222101.5001.750

Marlins vs. Diamondbacks: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Monday

  • Teams: Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
  • Date: Monday, September 14, 2026
  • Time: 9:40PM ET
  • Venue: Chase Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Marlins (+1.5, -167), Diamondbacks (-1.5, +163)
  • Moneyline: Marlins +125, Diamondbacks -127
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (+104/-108)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Marlins: 42.0%
  • Diamondbacks: 58.0%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Marlins a win probability of 42.0%, while the Diamondbacks have a win probability of 58.0%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Diamondbacks are more likely to beat the Marlins in the MLB game at Chase Field on Monday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Marlins vs. Diamondbacks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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