Pirates vs. Cubs: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pirates vs. Cubs MLB game on Sunday, September 13, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Pirates
Bubba Chandler 7-9, 4.25 ERA
4
3
Wrigley Field
Cubs
Matthew Boyd 8-4, 4.03 ERA
Wrigley Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Pirates
1 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 4 9 0
Cubs
0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 3 5 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pirates
    100%
  • Cubs
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Carson Kelly grounds out to shallow infield, Brandon Lowe to Rafael Flores.
Quick Box Score
Pirates Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 K. Griffin SS5110000.2000.400
2 O. Cruz CF2010030.5001.300
3 B. Cook RF0000000.0000.000
4 R. Flores 1B4110002.2500.500
5 J. Gonzalez 3B0000000.0000.000
6 R. O'Hearn DH4000001.0000.000
7 J. Mangum LF3020010.6671.750
8 B. Lowe 2B2012001.5001.000
9 H. Davis C4000000.0000.000
Cubs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 P. Crow-Armstrong CF4000001.0000.000
2 S. Suzuki RF3000011.0000.250
3 M. Busch 1B4120002.5001.000
4 A. Bregman 3B3010010.3331.167
5 I. Happ LF2000020.0000.500
6 N. Hoerner SS4001000.0000.000
7 M. Shaw PH1000000.0000.000
8 P. Ramirez 2B3100010.0000.250
9 C. Kelly PH1000000.0000.000

Pirates vs. Cubs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Sunday

  • Teams: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. CHI Cubs Cubs
  • Date: Sunday, September 13, 2026
  • Time: 2:20PM ET
  • Venue: Wrigley Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Pirates (+1.5, -150), Cubs (-1.5, +160)
  • Moneyline: Pirates +156, Cubs -140
  • Total (Over/Under): 7 runs (+100/+100)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Pirates: 40.2%
  • Cubs: 59.8%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pirates a win probability of 40.2%, while the Cubs have a win probability of 59.8%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Cubs are more likely to beat the Pirates in the MLB game at Wrigley Field on Sunday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Pirates vs. Cubs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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