Phillies vs. Braves: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Phillies vs. Braves MLB game on Sunday, September 13, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Phillies
Andrew Painter 3-9, 5.71 ERA
9
4
Truist Park
Braves
Grant Holmes 9-5, 3.47 ERA
Truist Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Phillies
0 2 0 0 0 0 0 7 0 9 16 0
Braves
1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 4 12 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Phillies
    100%
  • Braves
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Ozzie Albies pops out to J.T. Realmuto.
Quick Box Score
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 K. Schwarber DH4022010.5001.100
2 T. Turner SS4121011.5001.100
3 D. Hill RF0000000.0000.000
4 L. Arraez 2B5000000.0000.000
5 A. Bohm 1B5122000.4001.000
6 B. Stott 3B5131001.6001.400
7 B. De La Cruz LF3110001.3330.666
8 J. Realmuto C5233101.6002.000
9 J. Crawford CF3110010.3330.833
Braves Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 M. Harris CF5230002.6001.200
2 R. Acuña DH5120001.4000.800
3 M. Olson 1B5133100.6001.800
4 D. Baldwin C4011002.2500.450
5 M. Dubón LF4030011.7501.550
6 O. Albies 2B5000000.0000.000
7 A. Riley 3B3000011.0000.250
8 M. Yastrzemski RF4000002.0000.000
9 H. Kim SS2000020.0000.500

Phillies vs. Braves: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Sunday

  • Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
  • Date: Sunday, September 13, 2026
  • Time: 1:35PM ET
  • Venue: Truist Park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Phillies (+1.5, -175), Braves (-1.5, +167)
  • Moneyline: Phillies +117, Braves -120
  • Total (Over/Under): 9.5 runs (+108/-110)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Phillies: 44.6%
  • Braves: 55.4%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Phillies a win probability of 44.6%, while the Braves have a win probability of 55.4%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Braves are more likely to beat the Phillies in the MLB game at Truist Park on Sunday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Phillies vs. Braves predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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