Mets vs. Marlins: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mets vs. Marlins MLB game on Wednesday, September 9, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Mets
Robert Stock 1-3, 5.81 ERA
15
14
loanDepot park
Marlins
Janson Junk 6-9, 4.00 ERA
loanDepot park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Mets
0 6 2 0 0 0 6 1 0 15 15 0
Marlins
0 0 0 3 0 5 1 2 3 14 20 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Mets
    100%
  • Marlins
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Graham Pauley pops out to shallow infield to Francisco Lindor.
Quick Box Score
Mets Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 F. Lindor SS5213101.2001.133
2 J. Soto LF5000011.0000.167
3 B. Bichette 3B4011021.2500.750
4 C. Benge RF4101011.0000.333
5 J. Young DH5320010.4000.900
6 M. Semien 2B4210010.2500.650
7 A. Ewing CF4232001.7501.350
8 C. Morel 1B4333101.7502.500
9 L. Torrens C5234001.6001.400
Marlins Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 K. Stowers DH6110002.1670.500
2 H. Hernández LF4100021.0000.333
3 G. Conine 1B6232001.5001.167
4 O. Lopez SS3322010.6672.166
5 J. Marsee CF6143000.6671.334
6 J. Sanoja 2B6120000.3330.666
7 O. Caissie RF5222111.4001.500
8 G. Pauley 3B6132001.5001.000
9 J. Mack C5233101.6001.800

Mets vs. Marlins: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Wednesday

  • Teams: NY Mets Mets vs. Miami Marlins
  • Date: Wednesday, September 9, 2026
  • Time: 6:40PM ET
  • Venue: loanDepot park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Mets (+1.5, -178), Marlins (-1.5, +178)
  • Moneyline: Mets +113, Marlins -115
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (-113/+108)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Mets: 51.5%
  • Marlins: 48.5%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mets a win probability of 51.5%, while the Marlins have a win probability of 48.5%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Mets are more likely to beat the Marlins in the MLB game at loanDepot park on Wednesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Mets vs. Marlins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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