Pirates vs. White Sox: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pirates vs. White Sox MLB game on Wednesday, September 9, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Pirates
Lake Bachar 1-3, 3.59 ERA
4
2
Rate Field
White Sox
Davis Martin 9-6, 4.13 ERA
Rate Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Pirates
0 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 4 10 0
White Sox
0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 2 8 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pirates
    100%
  • White Sox
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Miguel Vargas called out on strikes.
Quick Box Score
Pirates Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 K. Griffin SS4012011.2500.650
2 B. Lowe 2B4020012.5001.100
3 B. Reynolds LF4000000.0000.000
4 N. Gonzales DH4010000.2500.500
5 O. Cruz CF4010001.2500.500
6 B. Cook RF0100000.0001.000
7 S. Horwitz 1B4110001.2500.500
8 R. Flores C4011000.2500.500
9 J. Triolo 3B10100001.0002.000
White Sox Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 S. Antonacci 2B5011001.2000.400
2 M. Vargas DH3000002.0000.000
3 M. Murakami 1B3111102.3331.833
4 R. Grichuk LF4020001.5001.000
5 C. Montgomery 3B4000003.0000.000
6 B. Montgomery RF2110021.5001.750
7 T. Peters CF3010001.3330.833
8 C. Meidroth SS4010001.2500.500
9 E. Quero PH1000000.0000.000

Pirates vs. White Sox: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Wednesday

  • Teams: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. CHI White Sox White Sox
  • Date: Wednesday, September 9, 2026
  • Time: 7:40PM ET
  • Venue: Rate Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Pirates (+1.5, -170), White Sox (-1.5, +170)
  • Moneyline: Pirates +117, White Sox -117
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (-113/+113)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Pirates: 48.3%
  • White Sox: 51.7%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pirates a win probability of 48.3%, while the White Sox have a win probability of 51.7%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the White Sox are more likely to beat the Pirates in the MLB game at Rate Field on Wednesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Pirates vs. White Sox predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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