Padres vs. Reds: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Padres vs. Reds MLB game on Monday, August 31, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Padres
Michael King 8-9, 3.23 ERA
5
0
Great American Ball Park
Reds
Brady Singer 5-12, 4.72 ERA
Great American Ball Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Padres
0 0 0 4 0 0 1 0 0 5 15 0
Reds
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Padres
    100%
  • Reds
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Héctor Rodríguez pops out to shallow infield to Sung-Mun Song.
Quick Box Score
Padres Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 F. Tatis RF5110000.2000.600
2 J. Cronenworth 2B5000002.0000.000
3 M. Machado 3B5140000.8001.800
4 T. France 1B5131000.6001.200
5 J. Merrill CF4121002.5001.100
6 X. Bogaerts DH5112003.2000.600
7 D. Harris LF5021001.4000.800
8 L. Campusano C4020001.5001.000
9 S. Song SS4000001.0000.000
Reds Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 H. Rodríguez RF5010002.2000.400
2 E. De La Cruz DH2000021.0000.500
3 S. Stewart 1B4010000.2500.750
4 J. Bleday LF3000010.0000.250
5 T. Stephenson C3010012.3330.833
6 E. Suárez 3B3000002.0000.250
7 M. McLain SS3010000.3330.833
8 D. Myers PH10100001.0002.000
9 E. Arroyo 2B4000004.0000.000

Padres vs. Reds: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Monday

  • Teams: San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds
  • Date: Monday, August 31, 2026
  • Time: 6:40PM ET
  • Venue: Great American Ball Park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Padres (-1.5, +122), Reds (+1.5, -122)
  • Moneyline: Padres -133, Reds +135
  • Total (Over/Under): 9.5 runs (+117/-122)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Padres: 54.8%
  • Reds: 45.2%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Padres a win probability of 54.8%, while the Reds have a win probability of 45.2%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Padres are more likely to beat the Reds in the MLB game at Great American Ball Park on Monday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Padres vs. Reds predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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