Mets vs. Rays: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mets vs. Rays MLB game on Monday, August 31, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Mets
Robert Stock 0-3, 7.40 ERA
3
2
Tropicana Field
Rays
Ian Seymour 9-5, 4.21 ERA
Tropicana Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Mets
0 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 0 3 10 0
Rays
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 9 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Mets
    100%
  • Rays
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Yandy Díaz called out on strikes.
Quick Box Score
Mets Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 F. Lindor SS4000001.0000.000
2 B. Bichette 3B4110001.2500.750
3 C. Benge RF4010003.2500.500
4 M. Vientos DH4111101.2501.250
5 J. Young 1B4010001.2500.750
6 C. Pache LF11100001.0002.000
7 M. Semien 2B4010000.2500.500
8 A. Ewing CF4020001.5001.000
9 L. Torrens C0000000.0000.000
Rays Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 Y. Díaz DH5000003.0000.000
2 J. Aranda 1B3100010.0000.250
3 J. Caminero 3B4010001.2500.500
4 K. Piper C0000000.0000.000
5 C. Simpson LF4021000.5001.000
6 C. Mullins CF4010000.2500.500
7 J. DeLuca RF3010012.3330.833
8 R. Palacios 2B4010000.2500.500
9 T. Walls SS4110000.2500.500

Mets vs. Rays: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Monday

  • Teams: NY Mets Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays
  • Date: Monday, August 31, 2026
  • Time: 6:40PM ET
  • Venue: Tropicana Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Mets (+1.5, -135), Rays (-1.5, +133)
  • Moneyline: Mets +163, Rays -160
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (+117/-122)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Mets: 43.5%
  • Rays: 56.5%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mets a win probability of 43.5%, while the Rays have a win probability of 56.5%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Rays are more likely to beat the Mets in the MLB game at Tropicana Field on Monday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Mets vs. Rays predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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