Marlins vs. Mets: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Marlins vs. Mets MLB game on Sunday, August 2, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Marlins
Sandy Alcantara 11-6, 3.82 ERA
2
0
Citi Field
Mets
Robert Stock 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Citi Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Marlins
0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 2 5 0
Mets
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Marlins
    100%
  • Mets
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
A.J. Ewing flies out to left center field to Jakob Marsee.
Quick Box Score
Marlins Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 L. Hicks DH4010001.2500.500
2 K. Stowers 1B4000002.0000.000
3 O. Lopez SS4110000.2500.500
4 X. Edwards 2B4011000.2500.500
5 J. Marsee CF0000000.0000.000
6 O. Caissie RF3000001.0000.000
7 J. Mack C3121101.6672.334
8 J. Sanoja 3B3000000.0000.000
9 E. Ruiz LF2000010.0000.333
Mets Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 A. Ewing LF5000000.0000.000
2 F. Lindor SS4010000.2500.750
3 B. Bichette 3B4000002.0000.000
4 C. Benge RF3000010.0000.250
5 L. Robert CF4010002.2500.500
6 J. Young 1B3010011.3331.167
7 M. Semien 2B3010010.3330.833
8 J. Polanco DH3000012.0000.250
9 T. Taylor PR0000000.0000.000

Marlins vs. Mets: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Sunday

  • Teams: Miami Marlins vs. NY Mets Mets
  • Date: Sunday, August 2, 2026
  • Time: 1:40PM ET
  • Venue: Citi Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Marlins (-1.5, +178), Mets (+1.5, -155)
  • Moneyline: Marlins +104, Mets +108
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (+108/+104)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Marlins: 47.1%
  • Mets: 52.9%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Marlins a win probability of 47.1%, while the Mets have a win probability of 52.9%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Mets are more likely to beat the Marlins in the MLB game at Citi Field on Sunday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Marlins vs. Mets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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