Yankees vs. Phillies Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Yankees vs. Phillies MLB game on July 25, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Yankees
Ryan Weathers 3-7, 4.40 ERA
3
1
Citizens Bank Park
Phillies
Tim Mayza 2-3, 4.00 ERA
Citizens Bank Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Yankees
0 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 3 7 0
Phillies
1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 7 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Yankees
    100%
  • Phillies
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Brandon Marsh grounds out to shortstop, José Caballero to Paul Goldschmidt.
Quick Box Score
Yankees Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 R. McMahon 3B3000001.0000.000
2 B. Rice DH4000002.0000.000
3 P. Goldschmidt 1B4020000.5001.000
4 M. Schuemann LF0000000.0000.000
5 T. Grisham CF4000000.0000.000
6 J. Domínguez RF4111101.2501.250
7 J. Chisholm 2B4000004.0000.000
8 J. Caballero SS4010002.2500.500
9 A. Wells C2211110.5002.667
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Turner SS3110001.3330.833
2 K. Schwarber DH4020001.5001.250
3 B. Harper 1B3001000.0000.000
4 A. Bohm 3B3000010.0000.250
5 E. Sosa LF4000002.0000.000
6 J. Crawford CF1000000.0000.000
7 J. Realmuto C3020010.6671.417
8 B. Stott 2B4000001.0000.000
9 B. Marsh RF2000000.0000.000

Yankees vs. Phillies: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Yankees vs. Phillies
  • Date: Saturday, July 25, 2026
  • Time: 6:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Citizens Bank Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Yankees favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 9
  • Moneyline Odds: Yankees -115, Phillies 46¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Yankees: 52%
  • Phillies: 48%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Yankees a win probability of 52%, while the Phillies have a win probability of 48%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Yankees are more likely to beat the Phillies in the MLB game at Citizens Bank Park on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Yankees vs. Phillies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.