Yankees vs. Phillies Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Yankees vs. Phillies MLB game on July 24, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Yankees
Cam Schlittler 9-6, 2.20 ERA
1
0
Citizens Bank Park
Phillies
Jesús Luzardo 9-4, 3.43 ERA
Citizens Bank Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Yankees
0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0
Phillies
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Yankees
    100%
  • Phillies
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Alec Bohm grounds out to shortstop, Ryan McMahon to Paul Goldschmidt.
Quick Box Score
Yankees Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 P. Goldschmidt 1B4111102.2501.250
2 B. Rice DH4000003.0000.000
3 R. McMahon 3B0000000.0001.000
4 C. Bellinger LF3010011.3330.833
5 J. Domínguez RF4010001.2500.500
6 A. Volpe SS3000001.0000.000
7 T. Grisham CF3000000.0000.000
8 J. Caballero 2B3000002.0000.000
9 A. Sánchez C2000001.0000.333
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Turner SS4000002.0000.000
2 K. Schwarber DH4010000.2500.750
3 B. Harper 1B4000003.0000.000
4 B. Marsh RF4000002.0000.000
5 A. Bohm 3B4000000.0000.000
6 B. Stott 2B3000002.0000.000
7 J. Realmuto C3020001.6671.334
8 D. Hill CF0000000.0000.000
9 E. Sosa LF10100001.0002.000

Yankees vs. Phillies: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Yankees vs. Phillies
  • Date: Friday, July 24, 2026
  • Time: 6:45 PM ET
  • Venue: Citizens Bank Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Phillies favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Yankees 44¢, Phillies 56¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Yankees: 43%
  • Phillies: 57%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Yankees a win probability of 43%, while the Phillies have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Phillies are more likely to beat the Yankees in the MLB game at Citizens Bank Park on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Yankees vs. Phillies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.