Rays vs. Blue Jays Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Rays vs. Blue Jays MLB game on July 21, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Rays
Drew Rasmussen 7-5, 3.26 ERA
12
2
Rogers Centre
Blue Jays
Kevin Gausman 4-8, 4.33 ERA
Rogers Centre
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Rays
3 0 0 2 3 0 0 0 4 12 21 0
Blue Jays
0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 7 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Rays
    100%
  • Blue Jays
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Brandon Valenzuela grounds out to shallow infield, Ben Williamson to Jonathan Aranda.
Quick Box Score
Rays Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 Y. Díaz DH6223100.3331.166
2 J. Aranda 1B6020002.3330.666
3 J. Caminero 3B3120030.6671.500
4 C. Mullins CF6220001.3330.833
5 J. DeLuca RF6123001.3330.666
6 C. Simpson LF5141000.8001.600
7 B. Williamson 2B5240001.8001.600
8 T. Walls SS5100002.0000.000
9 N. Fortes C5234100.6001.800
Blue Jays Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 N. Lukes RF4010000.2500.500
2 V. Guerrero 1B4000001.0000.000
3 E. Clement LF4120000.5001.000
4 L. Urías 2B0000000.0000.000
5 D. Varsho CF4011000.2500.500
6 K. Okamoto 3B4000002.0000.000
7 B. Valenzuela C3000011.0000.250
8 A. Giménez SS3000002.0000.000
9 M. Straw P3010000.3330.666

Rays vs. Blue Jays: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Rays vs. Blue Jays
  • Date: Tuesday, July 21, 2026
  • Time: 7:07 PM ET
  • Venue: Rogers Centre

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Rays favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Rays 50¢, Blue Jays 50¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Rays: 47%
  • Blue Jays: 53%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Rays a win probability of 47%, while the Blue Jays have a win probability of 53%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Blue Jays are more likely to beat the Rays in the MLB game at Rogers Centre on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Rays vs. Blue Jays predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.