Phillies vs. Reds Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Phillies vs. Reds MLB game on July 9, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Phillies
Jesús Luzardo 7-4, 3.75 ERA
1
0
Jul 9, 7:10 PM ET Great American Ball Park
Reds
Brady Singer 3-8, 5.03 ERA
Jul 9, 7:10 PM ET Great American Ball Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Phillies
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 5 0
Reds
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Phillies
    100%
  • Reds
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Noelvi Marte grounds out to shortstop, Alec Bohm to Bryce Harper.
Quick Box Score
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Turner SS3000010.0000.250
2 K. Schwarber DH4010003.2500.500
3 B. Harper 1B4000002.0000.000
4 B. Marsh LF4020000.5001.000
5 A. Bohm 3B3000001.0000.250
6 B. Stott 2B4010000.2500.750
7 D. Hill RF1100000.0000.000
8 J. Realmuto C3000001.0000.000
9 J. Crawford CF3011000.3330.666
Reds Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 E. De La Cruz SS4000003.0000.000
2 S. Stewart 3B4000001.0000.000
3 J. Bleday LF4010002.2500.500
4 S. Steer 1B2000001.0000.500
5 E. Suárez DH3000013.0000.250
6 T. Stephenson C4010001.2500.500
7 N. Marte RF3000011.0000.250
8 E. Arroyo 2B3000001.0000.000
9 T. Friedl CF3010001.3330.666

Phillies vs. Reds: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Phillies vs. Reds
  • Date: Thursday, July 9, 2026
  • Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Great American Ball Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Phillies favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 9.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Phillies -163, Reds +163

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Phillies: 57%
  • Reds: 43%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Phillies a win probability of 57%, while the Reds have a win probability of 43%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Phillies are more likely to beat the Reds in the MLB game at Great American Ball Park on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Phillies vs. Reds predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.