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Astros vs. Nationals Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Astros vs. Nationals MLB game on July 8, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB
Astros
Spencer Arrighetti 7-4, 3.81 ERA
2
8
Jul 8, 6:45 PM ET Nationals Park
Nationals
Foster Griffin 9-2, 2.87 ERA
Jul 8, 6:45 PM ET Nationals Park
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Astros | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
Nationals | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | X | 8 | 9 | 1 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
- Astros
- Nationals
Win Probability
Last At Bat
Outs
Brice Matthews grounds out to shallow infield, CJ Abrams to Luis García.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Altuve | 2B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 2 | Y. Alvarez | DH | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 3 | I. Paredes | 3B | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .500 | 1.250 |
| 4 | C. Walker | 1B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .250 | 0.750 |
| 5 | C. Smith | RF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 6 | Y. Diaz | C | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .250 | 0.750 |
| 7 | B. Matthews | CF | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 8 | Z. Dezenzo | LF | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .667 | 1.334 |
| 9 | N. Allen | SS | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .333 | 0.666 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Wood | RF | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | .000 | 0.600 |
| 2 | L. García | 1B | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .750 | 2.300 |
| 3 | C. Mead | 3B | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | .000 | 0.400 |
| 4 | C. Abrams | SS | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .333 | 1.733 |
| 5 | D. Lile | LF | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .400 | 1.000 |
| 6 | D. Crews | CF | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .250 | 0.650 |
| 7 | J. Vivas | 2B | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .333 | 1.267 |
| 8 | J. Tena | DH | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 9 | K. Ruiz | C | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .333 | 0.583 |
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Astros vs. Nationals: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Astros vs. Nationals
- Date: Wednesday, July 8, 2026
- Time: 6:45 PM ET
- Venue: Nationals Park
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Nationals favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 9.5
- Moneyline Odds: Astros +122, Nationals -122
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Astros: 49%
- Nationals: 51%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Astros a win probability of 49%, while the Nationals have a win probability of 51%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Nationals are more likely to beat the Astros in the MLB game at Nationals Park on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Astros vs. Nationals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.