Phillies vs. Reds Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Phillies vs. Reds MLB game on July 8, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Phillies
Alan Rangel 0-1, 3.38 ERA
5
11
Jul 8, 7:10 PM ET Great American Ball Park
Reds
Chase Burns 10-1, 2.40 ERA
Jul 8, 7:10 PM ET Great American Ball Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Phillies
0 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 5 8 0
Reds
0 0 2 5 0 4 0 0 X 11 11 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Phillies
    0%
  • Reds
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Gabriel Rincones grounds out to shallow infield, Rhett Lowder to Spencer Steer.
Quick Box Score
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 B. Harper 1B3100020.0000.400
2 K. Schwarber DH4111112.2501.400
3 B. Marsh LF4010011.2500.650
4 B. Stott 2B3001011.0000.200
5 A. Bohm 3B4010010.2500.650
6 G. Rincones RF5110001.2000.600
7 J. Crawford CF3121011.6672.083
8 R. Marchán C0000000.0000.000
9 E. Sosa SS3010000.3330.666
Reds Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 E. De La Cruz SS3322120.6672.800
2 S. Stewart 3B4223210.5002.600
3 J. Bleday LF4222110.5001.850
4 E. Suárez DH4000013.0000.200
5 S. Steer 1B4120012.5001.350
6 N. Marte RF5124102.4001.600
7 J. Trevino C4000002.0000.000
8 E. Arroyo 2B4110000.2501.000
9 T. Friedl CF3100011.0000.250

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Phillies vs. Reds: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Phillies vs. Reds
  • Date: Wednesday, July 8, 2026
  • Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Great American Ball Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Reds favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Phillies +140, Reds -127

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Phillies: 43%
  • Reds: 57%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Phillies a win probability of 43%, while the Reds have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Reds are more likely to beat the Phillies in the MLB game at Great American Ball Park on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Phillies vs. Reds predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.