Cardinals vs. Cubs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Cardinals vs. Cubs MLB game on July 3, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Cardinals
Andre Pallante 9-5, 3.83 ERA
17
1
Wrigley Field
Cubs
David Peterson 4-6, 5.86 ERA
Wrigley Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Cardinals
0 3 3 5 3 2 1 0 0 17 17 1
Cubs
0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 7 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cardinals
    100%
  • Cubs
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Pedro Ramirez lines out to first base to Pedro Pagés.
Quick Box Score
Cardinals Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Wetherholt 2B5010001.2000.533
2 J. Crooks C0000000.0001.000
3 J. Walker RF4310012.2501.000
4 N. Velázquez DH3102020.0000.333
5 P. Pagés 1B1000000.0000.000
6 B. Torres LF2111100.5002.500
7 J. Fermín SS5121001.4001.200
8 B. Jordan 3B5330001.6001.200
9 N. Church CF5223101.4001.400
Cubs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Dean CF1000001.0000.000
2 A. Bregman 3B4021000.5001.250
3 M. Busch 1B4010001.2500.500
4 S. Suzuki RF3000011.0000.250
5 K. Alcantara LF1000000.0000.000
6 N. Hoerner SS4010000.2500.750
7 M. Conforto DH4000001.0000.000
8 C. Kelly C4010001.2500.500
9 P. Ramirez 2B2110000.5002.000

Cardinals vs. Cubs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Cardinals vs. Cubs
  • Date: Friday, July 3, 2026
  • Time: 4:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Wrigley Field

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Cubs favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 10.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Cardinals 45¢, Cubs 52¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Cardinals: 44%
  • Cubs: 56%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Cardinals a win probability of 44%, while the Cubs have a win probability of 56%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Cubs are more likely to beat the Cardinals in the MLB game at Wrigley Field on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Cardinals vs. Cubs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.