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Red Sox vs. Astros Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Red Sox vs. Astros MLB game on August 12, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB
Red Sox
Dustin May 6-8, 4.93 ERA
14
1
Aug 12, 8:10 PM ET Daikin Park
Astros
Spencer Arrighetti 1-2, 7.43 ERA
Aug 12, 8:10 PM ET Daikin Park
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Red Sox | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 13 | 3 |
Astros | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 1 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
- Red Sox
- Astros
Win Probability
Last At Bat
Outs
Jeremy Peña pops out to shallow left field to Trevor Story.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Anthony | LF | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.833 |
| 2 | A. Bregman | 3B | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.4 | 1.500 |
| 3 | J. Duran | CF | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.750 |
| 4 | T. Story | SS | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.4 | 0.900 |
| 5 | M. Yoshida | DH | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.25 | 0.583 |
| 6 | A. Toro | 1B | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.167 | 0.334 |
| 7 | W. Abreu | RF | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | 1.600 |
| 8 | C. Rafaela | 2B | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.2 | 0.400 |
| 9 | A. Sánchez | C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Peña | SS | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.6 | 1.200 |
| 2 | M. Dubón | 3B | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2.000 |
| 3 | C. McCormick | P | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 4 | J. Sánchez | RF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 5 | V. Caratini | 1B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 6 | Y. Diaz | C | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 1.000 |
| 7 | T. Trammell | LF | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.333 | 0.833 |
| 8 | R. Urías | 2B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | 0.500 |
| 9 | J. Melton | CF | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | 0.500 |
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Red Sox vs. Astros: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Red Sox vs. Astros
- Date: Tuesday, August 12, 2025
- Time: 8:10 PM ET
- Venue: Daikin Park
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Astros favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Red Sox -105, Astros +280
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Red Sox: 49%
- Astros: 51%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Red Sox a win probability of 49%, while the Astros have a win probability of 51%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Astros are more likely to beat the Red Sox in the MLB game at Daikin Park on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Red Sox vs. Astros predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.