Red Sox vs. Padres Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Red Sox vs. Padres MLB game on August 9, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Red Sox
Lucas Giolito 8-2, 3.58 ERA
4
5
Aug 9, 8:40 PM ET PETCO Park
Padres
Michael King 4-2, 2.59 ERA
Aug 9, 8:40 PM ET PETCO Park
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 RHE
Red Sox
0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 4 9 0
Padres
1 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 5 7 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Red Sox
    0%
  • Padres
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Ramón Laureano singles to shallow left field. Ryan O'Hearn to second. Xander Bogaerts scores.
Quick Box Score
Red Sox Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 R. Anthony LF50110020.20.600
2 A. Bregman 3B41300000.752.050
3 J. Duran CF41210010.51.100
4 T. Story SS510000200.000
5 D. Hamilton DH100000100.000
6 R. González 1B100000000.000
7 W. Abreu RF300001200.400
8 C. Rafaela 2B41100120.250.650
9 C. Wong C300001200.250
Padres Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 F. Tatis RF51200020.40.800
2 L. Arraez 1B51200000.41.000
3 M. Machado 3B400001000.200
4 J. Merrill CF410001100.200
5 X. Bogaerts SS42221100.51.850
6 R. O'Hearn DH100103000.800
7 R. Laureano LF40120110.250.650
8 J. Cronenworth 2B300000000.250
9 F. Fermin C300000000.000

Red Sox vs. Padres: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Red Sox vs. Padres
  • Date: Saturday, August 9, 2025
  • Time: 8:40 PM ET
  • Venue: PETCO Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Padres favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Red Sox +123, Padres -135

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Red Sox: 41%
  • Padres: 59%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Red Sox a win probability of 41%, while the Padres have a win probability of 59%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Padres are more likely to beat the Red Sox in the MLB game at PETCO Park on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Red Sox vs. Padres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.