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Read Article Blue Jays vs. Athletics prediction: Why Toronto is favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [9/7/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Dimers' simulation model projects a 61.7% win probability for the Blue Jays at Sutter Health Park.
The Athletics and Toronto bluejays will meet in MLB action at Sutter Health Park on Monday, starting at 10:05 PM ET.
The Athletics will have Jacob Lopez (6-4, 4.71 ERA) as their starting pitcher, pitting him against Dylan Cease (10-5, 2.24 ERA) for the Blue Jays.
Dimers' proven MLB model projects the Blue Jays as the most likely winner in this Blue Jays vs. Athletics prediction.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
For more, dive into Dylan Cease's projected pitching stats.
Blue Jays vs. A's prediction and odds
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's MLB game between the Blue Jays and Athletics, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Blue Jays a 61.7% chance of defeating the Athletics.
According to our model, the Blue Jays (-1.5) have a 50.2% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 7.5 runs has a 60.1% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Blue Jays -1.5 (-120) / Athletics +1.5 (+117)
- Moneyline: Blue Jays -194, Athletics +190
- Total: Over/Under 7.5 (-113/+108)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Athletics +1.5 @ 46¢ via Polymarket
- Moneyline: Athletics @ 34¢ via Novig
- Total: Over 7.5 @ 53¢ via Novig
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & first pitch details
Monday's MLB matchup between the Athletics and Blue Jays at Sutter Health Park is scheduled to start at 10:05 PM ET.
- Who: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Athletics
- Date: Monday, September 7, 2026
- Time: 10:05 PM ET/7:05PM PT
- Venue: Sutter Health Park
Conclusion
We predict the Blue Jays, with a 61.7% win probability, will likely beat the Athletics in Monday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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