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Read Article Mets vs. Reds prediction: Why Mets are favored to win Tuesday's MLB matchup [6/16/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds predictions for MLB Tuesday.
MLB action continues on Tuesday at 7:10 PM ET as the New York Mets take on the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park.
The Reds will have Brady Singer (2-6, 5.61 ERA) as their starting pitcher, while the Mets will counter with Kodai Senga (0-4, 9.00 ERA).
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Mets a slight edge with a 52.8% win probability over the Reds.
This article offers further insights into Tuesday's Mets vs. Reds matchup, including best bets and picks.
Mets vs. Reds prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's MLB game between the Mets and Reds, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Mets a 52.8% chance of defeating the Reds.
According to our model, the Reds (+1.5) have a 57.6% chance of covering the run line, while the 9.5-run over/under has a 53.0% chance of going over,.
Mets vs. Reds odds [6/16/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mets | Reds |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (+136) | +1.5 (-155) |
| Moneyline | -116 | -102 |
| Total | o9.5 (-120) | u9.5 (-102) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mets vs. Reds picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Mets -1.5 | +136 |
| Moneyline | Mets | -116 |
| Total | Over 9.5 | -120 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mets -1.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mets vs. Reds game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's MLB action between the Reds and Mets at Great American Ball Park is scheduled to begin at 7:10 PM ET.
- Who: New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds
- Date: Tuesday, June 16, 2026
- Time: 7:10 PM ET/4:10PM PT
- Venue: Great American Ball Park
Conclusion
We predict the Mets, with a 52.8% win probability, will likely beat the Reds in Tuesday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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