MLB player props today: Tuesday's best props include Noah Schultz [7/21/2026]
Get MLB player props today with projections for Tuesday's games.

Dimers' MLB props are live for July 21, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Noah Schultz, Michael Lorenzen and Walker Buehler.
Our MLB player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Athletics vs. D-Backs and Padres vs. Braves, to surface the best MLB player prop bets across the market.
List of MLB prop bets for Tuesday, 7/21
Sourced from 140+ total MLB props on site today, below are the top 10 MLB player props for July 21, ranked by probability.
Noah Schultz under 15.5 outs recorded (-166)
- Edge: 8.8%
- Probability: 71.2%
- Game: White Sox vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET)
Our model has flagged value on CHI White Sox' Noah Schultz under 15.5 outs recorded. A probability of 71.2% gives this play an edge of 8.8% at -166 odds.
Michael Lorenzen over 1.5 walks allowed (-151)
- Edge: 9.7%
- Probability: 69.8%
- Game: Nationals vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET)
Michael Lorenzen’s walks allowed prop shows a 69.8% probability and an 9.7% edge at -151 odds, according to our model.
Walker Buehler over 1.5 walks allowed (-158)
- Edge: 7.1%
- Probability: 68.3%
- Game: Padres vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)
The data highlights value on Walker Buehler over 1.5 walks allowed, with simulations showing a 68.3% probability and a 7.1% edge at -158.
Framber Valdez over 1.5 walks allowed (-166)
- Edge: 4.4%
- Probability: 66.8%
- Game: Tigers vs. Cubs (8:05PM ET)
Our model finds value on Framber Valdez over 1.5 walks allowed, with a 66.8% probability and an edge of 4.4% at -166 odds.
Zack Wheeler over 1.5 earned runs (-165)
- Edge: 3.2%
- Probability: 65.5%
- Game: Dodgers vs. Phillies (6:40PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Zack Wheeler over 1.5 earned runs for Philadelphia, showing an edge of 3.2% at -165 odds.
Matthew Liberatore under 5.5 strikeouts (-152)
- Edge: 4.3%
- Probability: 64.6%
- Game: Cardinals vs. Angels (9:38PM ET)
Matthew Liberatore’s strikeouts prop shows an edge of 4.3% at -152 odds, supported by a 64.6% probability according to our model.
Will Warren under 5.5 strikeouts (-125)
- Edge: 8.7%
- Probability: 64.2%
- Game: Pirates vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET)
Our model highlights value on Will Warren under 5.5 strikeouts for NY Yankees, with a 64.2% probability and a 8.7% edge at -125 odds.
Zack Wheeler over 4.5 hits allowed (-145)
- Edge: 4.5%
- Probability: 63.7%
- Game: Dodgers vs. Phillies (6:40PM ET)
The data shows value on Zack Wheeler over 4.5 hits allowed, supported by a 63.7% probability at -145 odds and an edge of 4.5%.
Framber Valdez over 4.5 strikeouts (-121)
- Edge: 8.7%
- Probability: 63.4%
- Game: Tigers vs. Cubs (8:05PM ET)
An 8.7% edge on the over 4.5 strikeouts line makes Framber Valdez a value play in Tigers vs. Cubs, supported by a 63.4% probability at -121 odds.
Chase Burns over 3.5 hits allowed (-139)
- Edge: 4.9%
- Probability: 63.1%
- Game: Reds vs. Mariners (9:40PM ET)
Simulations show value on Chase Burns over 3.5 hits allowed here, with a 63.1% probability and 4.9% edge at -139 odds.
MLB player prop summary: Tuesday, July 21, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 6:40PM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| White Sox vs. Rangers | Noah Schultz under 15.5 outs recorded | -166 @ FanDuel | 8.8% | 71.2% |
| Nationals vs. Rockies | Michael Lorenzen over 1.5 walks allowed | -151 @ DraftKings | 9.7% | 69.8% |
| Padres vs. Braves | Walker Buehler over 1.5 walks allowed | -158 @ DraftKings | 4.4% | 66.8% |
| Tigers vs. Cubs | Framber Valdez over 1.5 walks allowed | -166 @ DraftKings | 4.4% | 66.8% |
| Dodgers vs. Phillies | Zack Wheeler over 1.5 earned runs | -165 @ BetMGM | 3.2% | 65.5% |
| Cardinals vs. Angels | Matthew Liberatore under 5.5 strikeouts | -152 @ DraftKings | 4.3% | 64.6% |
| Pirates vs. Yankees | Will Warren under 5.5 strikeouts | -125 @ Fanatics | 8.7% | 64.2% |
| Dodgers vs. Phillies | Zack Wheeler over 4.5 hits allowed | -145 @ DraftKings | 4.5% | 63.7% |
| Tigers vs. Cubs | Framber Valdez over 4.5 strikeouts | -121 @ BetRivers | 8.7% | 63.4% |
| Reds vs. Mariners | Chase Burns over 3.5 hits allowed | -139 @ DraftKings | 4.9% | 63.1% |
Conclusion
For July 21, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Noah Schultz, Michael Lorenzen and Walker Buehler. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.



