MLB postseason player props today: Tuesday's best props include Parker Messick [10/13/2026]

Parker Messick over 1.5 earned runs (-112)

• Edge: 5.1%
• Probability: 57.9%
• Game: Guardians vs. Rays (8:00PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Guardians' Parker Messick over 1.5 earned runs. A probability of 57.9% gives this play an edge of 5.1% at -112 odds.

Freddy Peralta over 3.5 hits allowed (+102)

• Edge: 7.6%
• Probability: 57.1%
• Game: Guardians vs. Rays (8:00PM ET)

Freddy Peralta’s hits allowed prop shows a 57.1% probability and an 7.6% edge at +102 odds, according to our model.

Parker Messick under 14.5 outs recorded (+128)

• Edge: 7.0%
• Probability: 50.8%
• Game: Guardians vs. Rays (8:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Parker Messick under 14.5 outs recorded, with simulations showing a 50.8% probability and a 7.0% edge at +128.

Taylor Walls over 0.5 bases (+115)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 50.8%
• Game: Guardians vs. Rays (8:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Taylor Walls over 0.5 bases, with a 50.8% probability and an edge of 4.3% at +115 odds.

Taylor Walls to get a hit (+130)

• Edge: 7.3%
• Probability: 50.8%
• Game: Guardians vs. Rays (8:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Taylor Walls to get a hit for Rays, showing an edge of 7.3% at +130 odds.

Freddy Peralta over 1.5 earned runs (+115)

• Edge: 2.6%
• Probability: 49.1%
• Game: Guardians vs. Rays (8:00PM ET)

Freddy Peralta’s earned runs prop shows an edge of 2.6% at +115 odds, supported by a 49.1% probability according to our model.

Parker Messick over 1.5 walks allowed (+147)

• Edge: 8.4%
• Probability: 48.9%
• Game: Guardians vs. Rays (8:00PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Parker Messick over 1.5 walks allowed for Guardians, with a 48.9% probability and a 8.4% edge at +147 odds.

Austin Hedges over 0.5 bases (+150)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 45.3%
• Game: Guardians vs. Rays (8:00PM ET)

The data shows value on Austin Hedges over 0.5 bases, supported by a 45.3% probability at +150 odds and an edge of 5.3%.

Austin Hedges to get a hit (+145)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 45.3%
• Game: Guardians vs. Rays (8:00PM ET)

A 4.5% edge on the to get a hit line makes Austin Hedges a value play in Guardians vs. Rays, supported by a 45.3% probability at +145 odds.

Taylor Walls to get an RBI (+425)

• Edge: 2.1%
• Probability: 21.1%
• Game: Guardians vs. Rays (8:00PM ET)

Simulations show value on Taylor Walls to get an RBI here, with a 21.1% probability and 2.1% edge at +425 odds.

MLB Playoffs player prop summary: Tuesday, October 13, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 7:56PM ET:

Conclusion

For October 13, 2026, our MLB postseason prop bets feature players such as Parker Messick, Freddy Peralta and Taylor Walls. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.