Home run predictions for Playoffs Monday include Shohei Ohtani, Jo Adell [10/12/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get home run predictions today backed by expert analysis of Monday's MLB Playoffs slate.

MLB Home Run Predictions Today.
Our home run predictions for October 12, 2026, are based on Monday's latest data and matchups.

Our MLB home run predictions for Monday, October 12, 2026, feature Shohei Ohtani as the top projected hitter, per Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.

Monday's HR projections pull from our full list of home run predictions, which highlight the most likely home run hitters today.

Home run predictions for October 12, 2026

See which hitters join Ohtani on today’s list — including one long-shot pick the model rates as value at +800. &&&&&& PaidContent:

  • Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers): 18.8% probability
  • Junior Caminero (Rays): 17.6%
  • Jo Adell (Guardians): 15.6%
  • Kyle Tucker (Dodgers): 13.8%
  • Teoscar Hernández (Dodgers): 13.4%
  • Max Muncy (Dodgers): 13.1%
  • José Ramírez (Guardians): 12.6%
  • Andy Pages (Dodgers): 12.0%
  • Will Smith (Dodgers): 11.1%
  • Jonathan Aranda (Rays): 10.8%

Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 18.8% chance to go yard, followed by Junior Caminero (17.6%) and Jo Adell (15.6%).

Kyle Tucker and Teoscar Hernández are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Monday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Shohei Ohtani 2026.
Shohei Ohtani features in our home run predictions on Monday, October 12, 2026.

Monday's playoffs home run picks [10/12/2026]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and weighing key variables like weather and pitching form, Dimers Pro’s data highlights today’s top home run prop.

Jo Adell (Guardians) to hit a home run

Ranked among today’s top three home run projections, Cleveland slugger Jo Adell rates as a value play at +800 with BetRivers, showing a 4.5% edge.

Against Rays starter Drew Rasmussen, the data supports Adell as one of Monday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.

 

Pro users have access to all of our home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

 

Conclusion

For October 12, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Junior Caminero and Jo Adell projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. Adell in particular emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 4.5% edge at +800 odds.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub. Our MLB home run predictions for Monday, October 12, 2026, feature Shohei Ohtani as the top projected hitter, according to Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.

Monday's HR projections pull from our proprietary home run predictions, which highlight the most likely home run hitters today.

Home run predictions for October 12, 2026

See which hitters join Ohtani on today’s list — including one long-shot pick the model rates as value at +800.

  • Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers): 18.8% probability
  • Junior Caminero (Rays): 17.6%
  • Jo Adell (Guardians): 15.6%
  • Kyle Tucker (Dodgers): 13.8%
  • Teoscar Hernández (Dodgers): 13.4%
  • Max Muncy (Dodgers): 13.1%
  • José Ramírez (Guardians): 12.6%
  • Andy Pages (Dodgers): 12.0%
  • Will Smith (Dodgers): 11.1%
  • Jonathan Aranda (Rays): 10.8%

Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 18.8% chance to go deep, followed by Junior Caminero (17.6%) and Jo Adell (15.6%).

Kyle Tucker and Teoscar Hernández are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10.

Monday's playoffs home run picks [10/12/2026]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and weighing key factors like weather and pitching form, Dimers Pro’s data highlights today’s top home run prop.

Jo Adell (Guardians) to hit a home run

  • Probability: 15.6%
  • Odds: +800 at BetRivers
  • Edge: 4.5%
  • Game: Guardians vs. Rays (8:00 PM ET)
  • Pitching matchup: Drew Rasmussen

Ranked among today’s top three home run projections, Cleveland slugger Jo Adell rates as a value play at +800 with BetRivers, showing a 4.5% edge.

With Drew Rasmussen on the mound for the Rays, the data supports Adell as one of Monday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.

Conclusion

For October 12, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Junior Caminero and Jo Adell projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. Adell in particular emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 4.5% edge at +800 odds.

For additional tools and information on betting safely, visit the Responsible Gambling hub at Dimers.com/responsible-gambling.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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