MLB player props today: Friday's best props include Gerrit Cole [8/14/2026]
Get MLB player props today with projections for Friday's games.
Dimers' MLB player props are live for August 14, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Clay Holmes, Jorge Polanco and Gerrit Cole.
Our MLB player props model runs continuously to analyze every matchup—including Cardinals vs. Cubs and Marlins vs. Reds—and surface the best MLB player prop bets across the market.
List of MLB prop picks for Friday, 8/14
Sourced from 65+ total MLB props on site today, below are the top 10 MLB player props for August 14, ranked by probability.
Clay Holmes over 3.5 strikeouts (-142)
- Edge: 5.8%
- Probability: 64.5%
- Game: Cardinals vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET)
Our model has flagged value on CHI Cubs' Clay Holmes over 3.5 strikeouts. A probability of 64.5% gives this play an edge of 5.8% at -142 odds.
Clay Holmes over 1.5 walks allowed (-120)
- Edge: 7.6%
- Probability: 62.1%
- Game: Cardinals vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET)
Clay Holmes’s walks allowed prop shows a 62.1% probability and an 7.6% edge at -120 odds, according to our model.
Jorge Polanco over 0.5 bases (-145)
- Edge: 2.6%
- Probability: 61.8%
- Game: Nationals vs. Mets (7:10PM ET)
The data highlights value on Jorge Polanco over 0.5 bases, with simulations showing a 61.8% probability and a 2.6% edge at -145.
Clay Holmes over 1.5 earned runs (-119)
- Edge: 7.4%
- Probability: 61.8%
- Game: Cardinals vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET)
Our model finds value on Clay Holmes over 1.5 earned runs, with a 61.8% probability and an edge of 7.4% at -119 odds.
Gerrit Cole under 5.5 hits allowed (-128)
- Edge: 3.9%
- Probability: 60.0%
- Game: Yankees vs. Blue Jays (7:15PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Gerrit Cole under 5.5 hits allowed for NY Yankees, showing an edge of 3.9% at -128 odds.
Matthew Liberatore over 1.5 walks allowed (-118)
- Edge: 5.3%
- Probability: 59.4%
- Game: Cardinals vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET)
Matthew Liberatore’s walks allowed prop shows an edge of 5.3% at -118 odds, supported by a 59.4% probability according to our model.
Gavin Williams over 1.5 earned runs (-127)
- Edge: 3.1%
- Probability: 59.1%
- Game: Padres vs. Guardians (7:10PM ET)
Our model highlights value on Gavin Williams over 1.5 earned runs for Cleveland, with a 59.1% probability and a 3.1% edge at -127 odds.
Michael King under 17.5 outs recorded (-114)
- Edge: 5.5%
- Probability: 58.8%
- Game: Padres vs. Guardians (7:10PM ET)
The data shows value on Michael King under 17.5 outs recorded, supported by a 58.8% probability at -114 odds and an edge of 5.5%.
Sandy Alcantara under 5.5 strikeouts (-105)
- Edge: 7.4%
- Probability: 58.6%
- Game: Marlins vs. Reds (6:10PM ET)
A 7.4% edge on the under 17.5 strikeouts line makes Sandy Alcantara a value play in Marlins vs. Reds, supported by a 58.6% probability at -105 odds.
Clay Holmes over 4.5 hits allowed (-111)
- Edge: 4.8%
- Probability: 57.4%
- Game: Cardinals vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET)
Simulations show value on Clay Holmes over 4.5 hits allowed here, with a 57.4% probability and 4.8% edge at -111 odds.
MLB player prop summary: Friday, August 14, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 4:49AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals vs. Cubs | Clay Holmes o3.5 strikeouts | -142 @ FanDuel | 5.8% | 64.5% |
| Cardinals vs. Cubs | Clay Holmes o1.5 walks allowed | -120 @ DraftKings | 7.6% | 62.1% |
| Nationals vs. Mets | Jorge Polanco o0.5 bases | -145 @ Fanatics | 7.4% | 61.8% |
| Cardinals vs. Cubs | Clay Holmes o1.5 earned runs | -119 @ DraftKings | 7.4% | 61.8% |
| Yankees vs. Blue Jays | Gerrit Cole u5.5 hits allowed | -128 @ DraftKings | 3.9% | 60.0% |
| Cardinals vs. Cubs | Matthew Liberatore o1.5 walks allowed | -118 @ DraftKings | 5.3% | 59.4% |
| Padres vs. Guardians | Gavin Williams o1.5 earned runs | -127 @ DraftKings | 3.1% | 59.1% |
| Padres vs. Guardians | Michael King u17.5 outs recorded | -114 @ DraftKings | 5.5% | 58.8% |
| Marlins vs. Reds | Sandy Alcantara u5.5 strikeouts | -105 @ DraftKings | 7.4% | 58.6% |
| Cardinals vs. Cubs | Clay Holmes o4.5 hits allowed | -111 @ DraftKings | 4.8% | 57.4% |
Conclusion
For August 14, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Clay Holmes, Jorge Polanco and Gerrit Cole. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
