Nationals vs. Mets: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Nationals vs. Mets MLB game on Friday, August 14, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Nationals
Andrew Alvarez 2-3, 3.76 ERA
1
4
Citi Field
Mets
Robert Stock 0-2, 10.13 ERA
Citi Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Nationals
0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 5 0
Mets
0 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 X 4 7 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Nationals
    0%
  • Mets
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Abimelec Ortiz strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Nationals Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 C. Abrams SS2100021.0000.600
2 A. Ortiz 1B5000002.0000.000
3 B. House DH3021001.6671.417
4 D. Lile LF4010000.2500.500
5 K. Ruiz C4000000.0000.000
6 D. Crews RF1000001.0000.000
7 N. Nuñez 2B3000011.0000.250
8 J. Vivas 3B4010001.2500.500
9 J. Young CF4010000.2500.500
Mets Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 A. Ewing LF4000001.0000.000
2 F. Lindor SS3111110.3331.833
3 B. Bichette 3B4111001.2500.500
4 L. Robert CF4010001.2500.500
5 C. Benge RF4011001.2500.500
6 F. Alvarez DH3000013.0000.250
7 M. Semien 2B4010000.2500.750
8 J. Young 1B4111101.2501.250
9 L. Torrens C2110010.5001.167

Nationals vs. Mets: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Friday

  • Teams: Washington Nationals vs. NY Mets Mets
  • Date: Friday, August 14, 2026
  • Time: 7:10PM ET
  • Venue: Citi Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Nationals (+1.5, -193), Mets (-1.5, +165)
  • Moneyline: Nationals +108, Mets -108
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (-102/+100)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Nationals: 43.1%
  • Mets: 56.9%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nationals a win probability of 43.1%, while the Mets have a win probability of 56.9%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Mets are more likely to beat the Nationals in the MLB game at Citi Field on Friday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Nationals vs. Mets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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