Orioles vs. Rays: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Orioles vs. Rays MLB game on Friday, August 14, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Orioles
Chris Bassitt 4-4, 5.27 ERA
6
5
Tropicana Field
Rays
Steven Matz 5-4, 5.46 ERA
Tropicana Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Orioles
0 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 0 6 12 0
Rays
0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 5 9 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Orioles
    100%
  • Rays
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Ryan Vilade flies out to deep center field to Leody Taveras.
Quick Box Score
Orioles Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 P. Alonso 1B5020002.4000.800
2 J. Holliday 2B5010001.2000.400
3 C. Mayo DH4000001.0000.000
4 T. O'Neill RF2210020.5001.250
5 G. Henderson SS42421001.0003.000
6 C. Encarnacion-Strand 3B3011001.3330.583
7 L. Taveras CF4100000.0000.000
8 Y. Pozo C1000000.0000.000
9 D. Beavers LF20220001.0002.000
Rays Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 Y. Díaz DH5010001.2000.400
2 J. Mateo PR0100000.0000.000
3 C. Simpson LF4010011.2500.650
4 J. Caminero 3B4101011.0000.200
5 L. Hicks C3110011.3330.933
6 R. Vilade RF1000010.0000.500
7 J. DeLuca CF2000000.0000.000
8 R. Palacios 2B4121001.5001.250
9 T. Walls SS3110010.3330.833

Orioles vs. Rays: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Friday

  • Teams: Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays
  • Date: Friday, August 14, 2026
  • Time: 7:10PM ET
  • Venue: Tropicana Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Orioles (+1.5, -141), Rays (-1.5, +140)
  • Moneyline: Orioles +150, Rays -148
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (+111/-113)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Orioles: 42.4%
  • Rays: 57.6%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Orioles a win probability of 42.4%, while the Rays have a win probability of 57.6%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Rays are more likely to beat the Orioles in the MLB game at Tropicana Field on Friday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Orioles vs. Rays predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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