MLB player props today: Sunday's best props include Jacob Misiorowski [8/9/2026]

Dimers' MLB player props are live for August 9, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Jacob Misiorowski, Grant Holmes and Shane Bieber.

Our MLB player props model runs continuously to analyze every matchup—including Dodgers vs. D-Backs and Athletics vs. Red Sox—and surface the best MLB player prop bets across the market.

List of MLB prop bets for Sunday, 8/9

Sourced from 185+ total MLB props on site today, below are the top 10 MLB player props for August 9, ranked by probability.

Jacob Misiorowski over 0.5 earned runs (-200)

• Edge: 8.1%
• Probability: 74.7%
• Game: Twins vs. Brewers (2:10PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Milwaukee's Jacob Misiorowski over 0.5 earned runs. A probability of 74.7% gives this play an edge of 8.1% at -200 odds.

Grant Holmes over 1.5 walks allowed (-184)

• Edge: 6.3%
• Probability: 71.1%
• Game: Braves vs. Yankees (1:35PM ET)

Grant Holmes’s walks allowed prop shows a 71.1% probability and an 6.3% edge at -184 odds, according to our model.

Shane Bieber under 3.5 earned runs (-152)

• Edge: 9.5%
• Probability: 69.9%
• Game: Blue Jays vs. Phillies (1:35PM ET)

The data highlights value on Shane Bieber under 3.5 earned runs, with simulations showing a 69.9% probability and a 9.5% edge at -152.

Michael Lorenzen over 2.5 strikeouts (-165)

• Edge: 7.3%
• Probability: 69.6%
• Game: Rockies vs. Cardinals (2:15PM ET)

Our model finds value on Michael Lorenzen over 2.5 strikeouts, with a 69.6% probability and an edge of 7.3% at -165 odds.

Ryan Gusto over 1.5 earned runs (-159)

• Edge: 7.4%
• Probability: 68.8%
• Game: Angels vs. Marlins (1:40PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Ryan Gusto over 1.5 earned runs for Miami, showing an edge of 7.4% at -159 odds.

Michael Lorenzen over 1.5 walks allowed (-131)

• Edge: 9.7%
• Probability: 66.4%
• Game: Rockies vs. Cardinals (2:15PM ET)

Michael Lorenzen’s walks allowed prop shows an edge of 9.7% at -131 odds, supported by a 66.4% probability according to our model.

Randy Vásquez over 2.5 strikeouts (-146)

• Edge: 5.8%
• Probability: 65.1%
• Game: Astros vs. Padres (8:20PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Randy Vásquez over 2.5 strikeouts for San Diego, with a 65.1% probability and a 5.8% edge at -146 odds.

Jared Jones under 5.5 strikeouts (-132)

• Edge: 7.9%
• Probability: 64.8%
• Game: Mets vs. Pirates (1:35PM ET)

The data shows value on Jared Jones under 5.5 strikeouts, supported by a 64.8% probability at -132 odds and an edge of 7.9%.

J.T. Ginn under 3.5 earned runs (-150)

• Edge: 3.8%
• Probability: 63.8%
• Game: Athletics vs. Red Sox (1:35PM ET)

A 3.8% edge on the under 5.5 earned runs line makes J.T. Ginn a value play in Athletics vs. Red Sox, supported by a 63.8% probability at -150 odds.

Jesús Luzardo under 6.5 strikeouts (-128)

• Edge: 7.6%
• Probability: 63.7%
• Game: Blue Jays vs. Phillies (1:35PM ET)

Simulations show value on Jesús Luzardo under 6.5 strikeouts here, with a 63.7% probability and 7.6% edge at -128 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Sunday, August 9, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 11:46AM ET:

Conclusion

For August 9, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Jacob Misiorowski, Grant Holmes and Shane Bieber. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.