Home run predictions for Sunday include Nick Kurtz, Shohei Ohtani [7/26/2026]
Get home run predictions today backed by expert analysis of Sunday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Sunday, July 26, 2026, feature Nick Kurtz as the top projected hitter, based on Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.
Sunday's HR projections pull from our proprietary home run predictions, built to highlight the most likely home run hitters today.
Home run predictions for July 26, 2026
See which hitters join Kurtz on today’s list — including one value pick the model rates as value at +525.
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Nick Kurtz (Athletics) | 23.6% |
| Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) | 21.6% |
| Byron Buxton (Twins) | 19.3% |
| Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) | 18.8% |
| Yordan Alvarez (Astros) | 18.8% |
| Tyler Soderstrom (Athletics) | 18.6% |
| Jo Adell (Angels) | 17.7% |
| Junior Caminero (Rays) | 17.6% |
| Gary Sánchez (Brewers) | 17.6% |
| Ketel Marte (Diamondbacks) | 17.2% |
Our analysis shows Kurtz leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 23.6% chance to go deep, followed by Kyle Schwarber (21.6%) and Byron Buxton (19.3%).
Shohei Ohtani and Yordan Alvarez are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.
Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Sunday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.
Sunday's home run picks [7/26/2026]
Dimers Pro’s 10,000-simulation model, factoring in weather and pitching matchups, highlights today’s highest-rated home run prop.
Tyler Soderstrom (Athletics) to hit a home run
- Probability: 18.6%
- Odds: fanatics+525
- Edge: 2.6%
- Game: Athletics vs. Twins (2:10 PM EDT)
- Pitching matchup: Connor Prielipp
Ranked among today’s top 10 home run projections, slugger Tyler Soderstrom rates as a value play at +525 with fanatics, showing a 2.6% edge.
With Connor Prielipp on the mound for the Twins, the data supports Soderstrom as one of Sunday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.
Pro users have access to all of our home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
Conclusion
For July 26, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Nick Kurtz, Kyle Schwarber and Byron Buxton projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Tyler Soderstrom who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 2.6% edge at +525 odds.
Dive into more MLB player projections with our list of Sunday's top 10 pitchers by projected strikeouts
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
