Home run predictions for Monday include Kyle Schwarber, Jo Adell [9/7/2026]

• Kyle Schwarber (Phillies): 20.1% probability
• Fernando Tatis (Padres): 17.8%
• Jo Adell (Guardians): 17.2%
• Vladimir Guerrero (Blue Jays): 16.8%
• Manny Machado (Padres): 16.2%
• Juan Soto (Mets): 16.0%
• Pete Alonso (Orioles): 15.5%
• Kazuma Okamoto (Blue Jays): 15.0%
• Jackson Merrill (Padres): 14.8%
• Gary Sánchez (Brewers): 14.6%

Our analysis shows Schwarber leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 20.1% chance to go yard, followed by Fernando Tatis (17.8%) and Jo Adell (17.2%).

Vladimir Guerrero and Manny Machado are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Monday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Monday's home run picks [9/7/2026]

Powered by 10,000 simulations and data-driven variables like weather and pitcher form, Dimers Pro identifies today’s top home run prop.

Shay Whitcomb (Giants) to hit a home run

• Probability: 12.7%
• Odds: +1050
• Edge: 4.0%
• Pitching matchup: Michael McGreevy
• More game projections: Cardinals vs. Giants prediction (8:10 PM EDT)

Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, San Francisco slugger Shay Whitcomb rates as a value play at +1050 with Fanatics, showing a 4.0% edge.

Against Cardinals starter Michael McGreevy, the data supports Whitcomb as one of Monday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.

Pro users have access to a total of eight home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

Conclusion

For September 7, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Kyle Schwarber, Fernando Tatis and Jo Adell projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Shay Whitcomb who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 4.0% edge at +1050 odds.

Dive into more MLB player projections with our list of Monday's top 10 pitchers by projected strikeouts

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