MLB picks today: Tuesday's MLB best bets include Giants vs. Rangers play [8/4/2026]
Get MLB picks today and best bets for Tuesday, August 4, 2026.
Today’s MLB picks for August 4, 2026 are here, with Giants vs. Rangers and White Sox vs. Red Sox among the top plays identified by our model across Tuesday’s MLB action.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, going over the latest baseball odds to unearth real betting edges. The result? Data-backed plays that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of MLB best bets today [8/4, updated 2:36AM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 MLB best bets, ranked by edge for Tuesday, August 4, 2026.
Giants ML (+186)
- Edge: 5.0%
- Probability: 39.9%
- Matchup: Giants vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET)
Our model has identified value on Giants to defeat Rangers at +186 odds. A 39.9% probability produces an edge of 5.0%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.
White Sox vs. Red Sox Over 8.5 runs (-117)
- Edge: 4.6%
- Probability: 58.5%
- Matchup: White Sox vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET)
White Sox vs. Red Sox over 8.5 runs carries a 4.6% edge and a probability of 58.5% at -117 odds, according to our model.
Mets ML (+138)
- Edge: 4.6%
- Probability: 47%
- Matchup: Mets vs. Guardians (6:40PM ET)
Mets ML at +138 odds shows a 4.6% edge, supported by a 47% probability in simulations.
Mets vs. Guardians over 7.5 runs (-104)
- Edge: 4.6%
- Probability: 55.6%
- Matchup: Mets vs. Guardians (6:40PM ET)
A 4.6% edge and 55.6% probability make Mets vs. Guardians over 7.5 runs a value play in the Mets vs. Guardians matchup, per our model.
Giants vs. Rangers Over 7.5 runs (-113)
- Edge: 4.4%
- Probability: 57.5%
- Matchup: Giants vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET)
Giants vs. Rangers Over 7.5 runs at -113 odds presents a 4.4% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 57.5%.
White Sox -1.5 (+160)
- Edge: 4.0%
- Probability: 42.5%
- Matchup: White Sox vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET)
Our model finds value on White Sox -1.5 at +160 odds, supported by an edge of 4.0%.
Athletics vs. Reds Over 9.5 runs (+113)
- Edge: 3.9%
- Probability: 50.8%
- Matchup: Athletics vs. Reds (6:40PM ET)
Our model has uncovered value on Athletics vs. Reds Over 9.5 runs at +113 odds. A 50.8% probability produces a 3.9% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.
Dodgers vs. Cubs Over 8.5 runs (-108)
- Edge: 3.4%
- Probability: 55.3%
- Matchup: Dodgers vs. Cubs (8:05PM ET)
A 3.4% edge on a 55.3% probability makes Over 8.5 runs at -108 odds a solid value play in today's Dodgers vs. Cubs matchup.
Pirates vs. BrewersOver 7.5 runs (-108)
- Edge: 3.3%
- Probability: 55.2%
- Matchup: Pirates vs. Brewers (7:40PM ET)
Our model projects value on Over 7.5 runs at -108 odds. A 55.2% probability produces a 3.3% edge, making the Over the favorable side in today's matchup.
Marlins vs. Braves Over 9.5 runs (+113)
- Edge: 2.7%
- Probability: 49.7%
- Matchup: Marlins vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)
Rounding out our top 10 bets, Marlins vs. Braves Over 9.5 runs at +113 odds shows a 49.7% probability and a 2.7% edge.
MLB best bets summary: Tuesday, 8/4/2026
As of 2:36AM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giants vs. Rangers | Giants ML | +186 @ Polymarket | 5.0% | 39.9% |
| White Sox vs. Red Sox | Over 8.5 runs | -117 @ Polymarket | 4.6% | 58.5% |
| Mets vs. Guardians | Mets ML | +138 @ Polymarket | 4.6% | 47% |
| Mets vs. Guardians | Over 7.5 runs | -104 @ Polymarket | 4.6% | 55.6% |
| Giants vs. Rangers | Over 7.5 Runs | -113 @ Polymarket | 4.4% | 57.5% |
| White Sox vs. Red Sox | White Sox -1.5 | +160 @ BetMGM | 4.0% | 42.5% |
| Athletics vs. Reds | Over 9.5 Runs | +113 @ Polymarket | 3.9% | 50.8% |
| Dodgers vs. Cubs | Over 8.5 Runs | -108 @ Polymarket | 3.4% | 55.3% |
| Pirates vs. Brewers | Over 7.5 Runs | -108 @ Polymarket | 3.3% | 55.2% |
| Marlins vs. Braves | Over 9.5 Runs | +113 @ Polymarket | 2.7% | 49.7% |
List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [8/4/2026]
- Nationals vs. Phillies (6:40PM ET, Tuesday)
- Athletics vs. Reds (6:40PM ET, Tuesday)
- Mets vs. Guardians (6:40PM ET, Tuesday)
- Cardinals vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET, Tuesday)
- White Sox vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET, Tuesday)
- Marlins vs. Braves (7:15PM ET, Tuesday)
- Pirates vs. Brewers (7:40PM ET, Tuesday)
- Twins vs. Royals (7:40PM ET, Tuesday)
- Dodgers vs. Cubs (8:05PM ET, Tuesday)
- Giants vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET, Tuesday)
- Blue Jays vs. Astros (8:10PM ET, Tuesday)
- Rays vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET, Tuesday)
- Padres vs. D-Backs (9:40PM ET, Tuesday)
Conclusion
Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for August 4, 2026, featuring plays such as Giants ML vs. Rangers and over 8.5 runs in the White Sox vs. Red Sox matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
