MLB picks today: Friday's MLB best bets include Red Sox vs. Yankees play [8/28/2026]

Red Sox vs. Yankees Over 7.5 runs (-104)

• Edge: 7.4%
• Probability: 58.4%
• Matchup: Red Sox vs. Yankees (7:15PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Over 7.5 runs in Red Sox vs. Yankees at -104 odds. A 58.4% probability produces an edge of 7.4%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.

Rangers vs. Brewers Over 7.5 runs (-113)

• Edge: 5.6%
• Probability: 58.6%
• Matchup: Rangers vs. Brewers (7:40PM ET)

Rangers vs. Brewers over 7.5 runs carries a 5.6% edge and a probability of 58.6% at -113 odds, according to our model.

Royals vs. Guardians Over 7.5 runs (-113)

• Edge: 5.5%
• Probability: 58.6%
• Matchup: Royals vs. Guardians (7:10PM ET)

Royals vs. Guardians Over 7.5 runs at -113 odds shows a 5.5% edge, supported by a 58.6% probability in simulations.

Rockies vs. Braves over 8.5 runs (-117)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 59.2%
• Matchup: Rockies vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)

A 5.3% edge and 59.2% probability make Rockies vs. Braves over 8.5 runs a value play in the Rockies vs. Braves matchup, per our model.

Dodgers vs. Tigers Over 7.5 runs (+108)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 53.4%
• Matchup: Dodgers vs. Tigers (6:40PM ET)

Dodgers vs. Tigers Over 7.5 runs at +108 odds presents a 5.3% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 53.4%.

Marlins vs. Nationals Over 8.5 runs (+108)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 52.6%
• Matchup: Marlins vs. Nationals (6:45PM ET)

Our model finds value on Over 8.5 runs in Marlins vs. Nationals at +108 odds, supported by an edge of 4.5%.

Padres vs. Rays Over 7.5 runs (+111)

• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 51.3%
• Matchup: Padres vs. Rays (7:10PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Padres vs. Rays Over 7.5 runs at +111 odds. A 51.3% probability produces a 3.9% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.

Phillies vs. Angels Over 8.5 runs (+113)

• Edge: 3.8%
• Probability: 50.7%
• Matchup: Phillies vs. Angels (9:38PM ET)

A 3.8% edge on a 50.7% probability makes Over 8.5 runs at +113 odds a solid value play in today's Phillies vs. Angels matchup.

Astros vs. MetsOver 7.5 runs (-113)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 56.5%
• Matchup: Astros vs. Mets (7:10PM ET)

Our model projects value on Over 7.5 runs at -113 odds. A 56.5% probability produces a 3.4% edge, making the Over the favorable side in today's matchup.

Pirates vs. Cardinals Over 7.5 runs (+113)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 50.3%
• Matchup: Pirates vs. Cardinals (8:15PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Pirates vs. Cardinals Over 7.5 runs at +113 odds shows a 50.3% probability and a 3.4% edge.

MLB best bets summary: Friday, 8/28/2026

As of 3:10AM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [8/28/2026]

• Reds vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET, Friday)
• Dodgers vs. Tigers (6:40PM ET, Friday)
• Marlins vs. Nationals (6:45PM ET, Friday)
• Astros vs. Mets (7:10PM ET, Friday)
• Padres vs. Rays (7:10PM ET, Friday)
• Royals vs. Guardians (7:10PM ET, Friday)
• Red Sox vs. Yankees (7:15PM ET, Friday)
• Rockies vs. Braves (7:15PM ET, Friday)
• Rangers vs. Brewers (7:40PM ET, Friday)
• White Sox vs. Twins (8:10PM ET, Friday)
• Pirates vs. Cardinals (8:15PM ET, Friday)
• Phillies vs. Angels (9:38PM ET, Friday)

Conclusion

Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for August 28, 2026, featuring plays such as over 7.5 runs in the Red Sox vs. Yankees matchup and over 7.5 runs in the Rangers vs. Brewers matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are drawn from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.