Reds vs. Cubs: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Reds vs. Cubs MLB game on Saturday, August 29, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Reds
Andrew Abbott 6-9, 4.15 ERA
5
17
Wrigley Field
Cubs
Kevin Gausman 7-11, 4.37 ERA
Wrigley Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Reds
0 2 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 5 7 1
Cubs
3 3 0 1 3 0 4 3 X 17 19 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Reds
    0%
  • Cubs
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Ivan Johnson strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Reds Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 H. Rodríguez RF4000011.0000.200
2 I. Johnson 2B1000001.0000.000
3 S. Stewart 1B4122101.5001.750
4 J. Bleday LF3001001.0000.000
5 W. Banfield C0000000.0000.000
6 E. Arroyo 3B1000000.0000.000
7 J. Trevino P4000001.0000.000
8 T. Friedl CF4020001.5001.000
9 M. McLain SS4000001.0000.000
Cubs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 M. Conforto RF0000000.0000.000
2 S. Suzuki DH5332111.6001.867
3 A. Bregman 3B5133100.6002.067
4 M. Busch 1B6000000.0000.000
5 G. Arias SS0000000.0000.000
6 I. Happ LF3000001.0000.000
7 T. Taylor CF5340000.8001.800
8 P. Ramirez 2B3320020.6671.467
9 C. Kelly C4324111.5002.100

Reds vs. Cubs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Saturday

  • Teams: Cincinnati Reds vs. CHI Cubs Cubs
  • Date: Saturday, August 29, 2026
  • Time: 2:20PM ET
  • Venue: Wrigley Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Reds (+1.5, -102), Cubs (-1.5, +110)
  • Moneyline: Reds +199, Cubs -185
  • Total (Over/Under): 9.5 runs (+108/-108)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Reds: 37.5%
  • Cubs: 62.5%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Reds a win probability of 37.5%, while the Cubs have a win probability of 62.5%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Cubs are more likely to beat the Reds in the MLB game at Wrigley Field on Saturday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Reds vs. Cubs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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