Astros vs. Mets: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Astros vs. Mets MLB game on Saturday, August 29, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Astros
Bennett Sousa 1-3, 6.27 ERA
2
6
Citi Field
Mets
Nolan McLean 9-8, 3.21 ERA
Citi Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Astros
1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 4 0
Mets
1 0 0 0 3 0 0 2 X 6 11 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Astros
    0%
  • Mets
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Taylor Trammell lines out to deep center field to A.J. Ewing.
Quick Box Score
Astros Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Peña DH4110001.2500.750
2 Y. Alvarez LF3122100.6672.167
3 I. Paredes 3B3000010.0000.250
4 J. Altuve 2B4010001.2500.750
5 D. Varsho CF3000010.0000.250
6 C. Walker 1B4000000.0000.000
7 T. Trammell RF4000001.0000.000
8 N. Allen SS2000012.0000.333
9 Y. Diaz C0000000.0000.000
Mets Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 F. Lindor SS4210010.2500.900
2 J. Soto DH4111000.2500.500
3 B. Bichette 3B4000001.0000.000
4 C. Benge RF3110011.3330.833
5 J. Young 1B4133000.7502.000
6 M. Semien 2B4120000.5001.000
7 A. Ewing CF3000001.0000.000
8 L. Robert LF1000000.0000.000
9 F. Alvarez C4012002.2500.750

Astros vs. Mets: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Saturday

  • Teams: Houston Astros vs. NY Mets Mets
  • Date: Saturday, August 29, 2026
  • Time: 4:10PM ET
  • Venue: Citi Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Astros (+1.5, -150), Mets (-1.5, +150)
  • Moneyline: Astros +147, Mets -142
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (+117/-120)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Astros: 43.2%
  • Mets: 56.8%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Astros a win probability of 43.2%, while the Mets have a win probability of 56.8%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Mets are more likely to beat the Astros in the MLB game at Citi Field on Saturday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Astros vs. Mets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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