Merrill Kelly projections July 9: Strikeouts, outs, and earned runs vs. Padres [2026]

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Get projected pitching stats for Merrill Kelly today, including strikeouts, outs, and earned runs.

Merrill Kelly projected stats for Thursday, July 9, 2026.
Merrill Kelly pitching projections for Thursday MLB.

Merrill Kelly's projected stats point to a solid pitching performance on Thursday at 7:40 PM ET when the Arizona D-Backs face the San Diego Padres.

According to Dimers’ MLB pitcher projections, Kelly stands out on this slate, particularly for his outs total.

Merrill Kelly pitching projection for July 9

Dimers Pro members get full access to the latest projections for Kelly in the D-Backs vs. Padres matchup.

Based on our simulations, Kelly is projected for 15.9 outs, a number that sees him amongst the top starting pitchers on Thursday's slate.

Merrill Kelly projected stats vs. Twins

Here’s how our model breaks down Kelly's expected performance:

  • Strikeouts: 4.6
  • Outs recorded: 15.9
  • Earned runs allowed: 2.4
  • Hits allowed: 5.5

Merrill Kelly's July 9 projections are led by his projected outs, with supporting numbers across strikeouts and earned runs.

If using these pitcher projections for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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