Astros vs. White Sox prediction: Why White Sox are favored to win Friday's MLB matchup [7/24/2026]
Get Houston Astros vs Chicago White Sox predictions for MLB Friday.
The Chicago White Sox will square off with the Houston Astros, in what is expected to be a close MLB game, at Rate Field on Friday, commencing at 7:40 PM ET.
Davis Martin (9-5, 3.31 ERA) will get the ball for the White Sox, up against Spencer Arrighetti (7-5, 4.34 ERA) for the Astros.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model gives the White Sox a slight edge with a 51.9% win probability over the Astros.
This article offers further insights into Friday's Astros vs. White Sox matchup, including best bets and picks.
Astros vs. White Sox prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our leading predictive model currently gives the White Sox a 51.9% chance of defeating the Astros.
According to our model, the Astros (+1.5) have a 63.2% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 57.9% chance of going over,.
Astros vs. White Sox odds [7/24/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Astros | White Sox |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-163) | -1.5 (+160) |
| Moneyline | +122 | -127 |
| Total | o8.5 (-120) | u8.5 (+117) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Astros vs. White Sox picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Astros +1.5 | -163 |
| Moneyline | Astros | +122 |
| Total | Over 8.5 | -120 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Astros vs. White Sox game-day updates and essential details
Friday's MLB matchup between the White Sox and Astros at Rate Field is scheduled to start at 7:40 PM ET.
- Who: Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox
- Date: Friday, July 24, 2026
- Time: 7:40 PM ET/4:40PM PT
- Venue: Rate Field
Conclusion
We predict the White Sox, with a 51.9% win probability, will likely beat the Astros in Friday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
