Reds vs. Dodgers prediction: Dodgers favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [9/7/2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 61.6% win probability for the Dodgers at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium.

The Los Angeles Dodgers and Cincinnati Reds are scheduled to meet in MLB action at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium on Monday, starting at 9:10 PM ET.
The Dodgers will start Emmet Sheehan (4-8, 5.29 ERA), while the Reds are going with Chase Burns (15-3, 2.79 ERA).
Dimers' proven MLB model projects the Dodgers as the most likely winner in this Reds vs. Dodgers prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
For more, dive into Chase Burns' projected pitching stats.
Reds vs. Dodgers prediction and odds
Our independent predictive model gives the Dodgers a 61.6% chance of beating the Reds.
According to our model, the Reds (+1.5) have a 56.1% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 54.1% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Reds +1.5 (-130) / Dodgers -1.5 (+127)
- Moneyline: Reds +163, Dodgers -170
- Total: Over/Under 8.5 (+104/-106)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Dodgers -1.5 @ 44¢ via Novig
- Moneyline: Reds @ 38¢ via Novig
- Total: Over 8.5 @ 49¢ via Polymarket
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & first pitch details
Monday's MLB game between the Dodgers and Reds at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium is scheduled to commence at 9:10 PM ET.
- Who: Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
- Date: Monday, September 7, 2026
- Time: 9:10 PM ET/6:10PM PT
- Venue: UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
Conclusion
We predict the Dodgers, with a 61.6% win probability, will likely beat the Reds in Monday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.




