Necaxa vs. San Luis Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Necaxa vs. San Luis Liga MX match on October 26, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Necaxa
4
3
Oct 26, 9:00 PM ET Estadio Alfonso Lastras
San Luis
Oct 26, 9:00 PM ET Estadio Alfonso Lastras
San LuisASL
Score Summary
NecaxaNEC
Joao Pedro Galvao (53')
Soccer ball icon
Joao Pedro Galvao (62')
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S. Salles-Lamonge (68')
Soccer ball icon
E. Aguila (o.g.) (57')
Soccer ball icon
T. Badaloni (59')
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K. Rosero (74')
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D. Cambindo (90')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • San Luis
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Necaxa
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Necaxa by D. Cambindo, assisted by K. Rosero
4-3
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: Tepa replaces E. Aguila
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: Jesus Alcantar replaces F. Rossano
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: R. Monreal replaces C. Calderon
84'
Yellow Card
I. Rodriguez (Necaxa) cautioned
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: A. Cruz replaces D. Guillen
74'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Necaxa by K. Rosero
3-3
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: P. Perez replaces E. Lara
71'
Yellow Card
Rodrigo Dourado (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: J. Rojas replaces T. Badaloni
68'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by S. Salles-Lamonge, assisted by J. Sanabria
2-3
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: M. Garcia replaces S. Perez
62'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by Joao Pedro Galvao, assisted by S. Salles-Lamonge
2-2
59'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Necaxa by T. Badaloni
2-1
57'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Necaxa by E. Aguila (o.g.)
1-1
53'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by Joao Pedro Galvao, assisted by Rodrigo Dourado
0-1
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: D. Guillen replaces Juanpe
43'
Yellow Card
C. Calderon (Necaxa) cautioned
10'
Yellow Card
S. Perez (Atl. San Luis) cautioned

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Necaxa vs. San Luis: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Necaxa vs. San Luis
  • Date: Sunday, October 26, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Alfonso Lastras

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Necaxa +200, San Luis +120, draw +265
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-165/+136)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Necaxa: 35.2%
  • San Luis: 41.6%
  • Draw: 23.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Necaxa 1-1 San Luis (10.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Necaxa vs. San Luis? Prediction & correct score

San Luis is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 41.6%.

The most likely correct score is Necaxa 1-1 San Luis.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Necaxa vs. San Luis, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.