Guadalajara vs. Queretaro Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Guadalajara vs. Queretaro Liga MX match on October 22, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Guadalajara
0
1
Estadio La Corregidora
Queretaro
Estadio La Corregidora
QueretaroQUT
Score Summary
GuadalajaraGCH
A. Avila (2')
Soccer ball icon
R. Ledezma (90')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Queretaro
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Guadalajara
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Red Card
    R. Ledezma (Guadalajara Chivas) sent off with a straight red card
  2. 81'
    Yellow Card
    G. Allison (Queretaro) cautioned
  3. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Queretaro: C. Villanueva replaces J. Perlaza
  4. 72'
    Yellow Card
    A. Zapata (Queretaro) cautioned
  5. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Queretaro: M. Coronel replaces L. Rodriguez
  6. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Queretaro: O. I. Mendoza Martin replaces J. Gomez
  7. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: C. Cowell replaces B. Gonzalez
  8. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: H. Camberos replaces E. Alvarez
  9. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: E. Gutierrez replaces J. Castillo
  10. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Queretaro: Jhojan Julio replaces A. Avila
  11. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: R. Alvarado replaces O. Govea
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: T. Wilke replaces A. Gonzalez
  13. 44'
    Yellow Card
    R. Ledezma (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
  14. 2'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Queretaro by A. Avila
    0-1

Guadalajara vs. Queretaro: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Guadalajara vs. Queretaro
  • Date: Wednesday, October 22, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio La Corregidora

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Guadalajara -145, Queretaro +430, draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-112/-108)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Guadalajara: 50.8%
  • Queretaro: 22.8%
  • Draw: 26.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Guadalajara 1-0 Queretaro (13.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Guadalajara vs. Queretaro? Prediction & correct score

Guadalajara is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 50.8%.

The most likely correct score is Guadalajara 1-0 Queretaro.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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