Mazatlan vs. Guadalajara Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Mazatlan vs. Guadalajara Liga MX match on October 18, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Mazatlan
0
2
Estadio Akron
Guadalajara
Estadio Akron
GuadalajaraGCH
Score Summary
MazatlanMAZ
A. Gonzalez (pen.) (34')
Soccer ball icon
B. Gonzalez (40')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Guadalajara
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Mazatlan
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mazatlan FC: D. Hernandez replaces Dudu
  2. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mazatlan FC: A. Duarte replaces R. Meraz
  3. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mazatlan FC: S. Fierro replaces J. Esquivel
  4. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: Chicharito replaces A. Gonzalez
  5. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: R. Alvarado replaces S. Sandoval
  6. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: D. Aguirre replaces E. Alvarez
  7. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: E. Gutierrez replaces O. Govea
  8. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mazatlan FC: A. Torres replaces I. Gonzalez
  9. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mazatlan FC: M. Lainez replaces M. Zaleta
  10. 45'
    Yellow Card
    A. Gonzalez (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
  11. 45'
    Yellow Card
    A. Leyva (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
  12. 40'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by B. Gonzalez, assisted by R. Ledezma
    0-2
  13. 34'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by A. Gonzalez (pen.)
    0-1

Mazatlan vs. Guadalajara: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Mazatlan vs. Guadalajara
  • Date: Saturday, October 18, 2025
  • Time: 9:07 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Akron

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Mazatlan +700, Guadalajara -285, draw +425
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-175/+142)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Mazatlan: 16.4%
  • Guadalajara: 59.9%
  • Draw: 23.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Mazatlan 0-1 Guadalajara (14.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Mazatlan vs. Guadalajara? Prediction & correct score

Guadalajara is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 59.9%.

The most likely correct score is Mazatlan 0-1 Guadalajara.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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