Cruz Azul vs. Pachuca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Cruz Azul vs. Pachuca Liga MX match on September 13, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Cruz Azul
1
0
Estadio Hidalgo (Pachuca de Soto)
Pachuca
Estadio Hidalgo (Pachuca de Soto)
PachucaPAC
Score Summary
Cruz AzulCRA
L. Quinones (56')
Red Card icon
A. Aceves (62')
Red Card icon
J. Orozco (19')
Red Card icon
G. Fernandez (pen.) (65')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pachuca
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Cruz Azul
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: G. Togni replaces E. Montiel
  2. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: L. Faravelli replaces C. Rotondi
  3. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Morales replaces I. Rivero
  4. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: M. Bogusz replaces J. Paradela
  5. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: O. Campos replaces L. Romero
  6. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: I. Hernandez replaces J. Cadiz
  7. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: Kenedy replaces A. Bautista
  8. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: C. Sanchez replaces A. Dominguez
  9. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: V. Guzman replaces O. Idrissi
  10. 65'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by G. Fernandez (pen.)
    1-0
  11. 62'
    Red Card
    A. Aceves (Pachuca) sent off with a straight red card
  12. 56'
    Red Card
    L. Quinones (Pachuca) sent off with a straight red card
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: E. Lira replaces C. Rodriguez
  14. 45'
    Yellow Card
    L. Quinones (Pachuca) cautioned
  15. 20'
    Yellow Card
    I. Rivero (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  16. 19'
    Red Card
    J. Orozco (Cruz Azul) sent off with a straight red card

Cruz Azul vs. Pachuca: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Cruz Azul vs. Pachuca
  • Date: Saturday, September 13, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Hidalgo

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Cruz Azul +145, Pachuca +180, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-142/+116)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Cruz Azul: 42.8%
  • Pachuca: 32.4%
  • Draw: 24.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Cruz Azul 1-1 Pachuca (11.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Cruz Azul vs. Pachuca? Prediction & correct score

Cruz Azul is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 42.8%.

The most likely correct score is Cruz Azul 1-1 Pachuca.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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Responsible gambling

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