Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid La Liga match on August 29, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
ESP sport icon
LA LIGA
Atletico Madrid
3
1
Sevilla
SevillaSEV
Score Summary
Atletico MadridATM
M. Sierra (66')
Soccer ball icon
A. Baena (4')
Soccer ball icon
A. Lookman (26')
Soccer ball icon
A. Baena (33')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Sevilla
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Atletico Madrid
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    G. Suazo (Sevilla) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    M. Pubill (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
  3. 89'
    Yellow Card
    I. Romero (Sevilla) cautioned
  4. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: J. Cardoso replaces M. Hjulmand
  5. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: R. Mendoza replaces A. Baena
  6. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: A. Gonzalez replaces M. Sierra
  7. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: Koke replaces Lee Kang-In
  8. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: I. Romero replaces Peque
  9. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Ortiz replaces A. Lookman
  10. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: J. Gimenez replaces M. Llorente
  11. 66'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Sevilla by M. Sierra, assisted by R. Ure
    3-1
  12. 55'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: C. Ejuke replaces J. Diaz
  13. 55'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: G. Kochorashvili replaces J. Guridi
  14. 45'
    Yellow Card
    M. Llorente (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
  15. 33'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by A. Baena, assisted by M. Llorente
    3-0
  16. 26'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by A. Lookman, assisted by P. Barrios
    2-0
  17. 4'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by A. Baena, assisted by Lee Kang-In
    1-0

Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid
  • Date: Saturday, August 29, 2026
  • Time: 3:30 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Sevilla 23¢, Atletico Madrid 49¢, draw 28¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (47¢/54¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Sevilla: 26.0%
  • Atletico Madrid: 48.2%
  • Draw: 25.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Sevilla 1-1 Atletico Madrid (12.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid? Prediction & correct score

Atletico Madrid is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 48.2%.

The most likely correct score is Sevilla 1-1 Atletico Madrid.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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Responsible gambling

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