Celta Vigo vs. Athletic Bilbao Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Celta Vigo vs. Athletic Bilbao La Liga match on August 30, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
ESP sport icon
LA LIGA
Athletic Bilbao
2
0
Celta Vigo
Celta VigoRCC
Score Summary
Athletic BilbaoBIL
A. Berenguer (20')
Soccer ball icon
R. Navarro (22')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Celta Vigo
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Athletic Bilbao
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: J. Louis-Jean replaces J. Areso
  2. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: N. Williams replaces R. Navarro
  3. 71'
    Yellow Card
    B. Gerenabarrena (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
  4. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: G. Guruzeta replaces I. Williams
  5. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: M. Jauregizar replaces I. Ruiz de Galarreta
  6. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: P. Canales replaces O. Sancet
  7. 61'
    Yellow Card
    R. Navarro (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
  8. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: H. Alvarez replaces W. Swedberg
  9. 48'
    Yellow Card
    Y. Berchiche (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
  10. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: I. Aspas replaces H. Gonzalez
  11. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: J. Rueda replaces J. Rodriguez
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: Y. Lago replaces A. Faye
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: M. Roman replaces I. Moriba
  14. 22'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by R. Navarro, assisted by I. Ruiz de Galarreta
    2-0
  15. 20'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by A. Berenguer, assisted by I. Williams
    1-0

Celta Vigo vs. Athletic Bilbao: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Celta Vigo vs. Athletic Bilbao
  • Date: Sunday, August 30, 2026
  • Time: 3:30 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Celta Vigo 35¢, Athletic Bilbao 36¢, draw 32¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (41¢/60¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Celta Vigo: 38.0%
  • Athletic Bilbao: 34.2%
  • Draw: 27.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Celta Vigo 1-1 Athletic Bilbao (13.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Celta Vigo vs. Athletic Bilbao? Prediction & correct score

Celta Vigo is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 38.0%.

The most likely correct score is Celta Vigo 1-1 Athletic Bilbao.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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