Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano La Liga match on August 31, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
ESP sport icon
LA LIGA
Rayo Vallecano
2
5
Camp Nou
Barcelona
Camp Nou
BarcelonaFCB
Score Summary
Rayo VallecanoRVC
Raphinha (19')
Soccer ball icon
Lamine Yamal (21')
Soccer ball icon
F. Lejeune (o.g.) (51')
Soccer ball icon
Raphinha (71')
Soccer ball icon
Lamine Yamal (90')
Soccer ball icon
S. Camello (12')
Soccer ball icon
S. Camello (59')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Barcelona
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Rayo Vallecano
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    A. Pedrosa (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Barcelona by Lamine Yamal, assisted by K. Adeyemi
    2-5
  3. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Barcelona: H. Abdelkarim replaces Raphinha
  4. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Barcelona: J. Cancelo replaces Pedri
  5. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Barcelona: K. Adeyemi replaces A. Gordon
  6. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Alemao replaces S. Camello
  7. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: R. Nteka replaces U. Lopez
  8. 71'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Barcelona by Raphinha, assisted by A. Gordon
    2-4
  9. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Barcelona: Fermin replaces D. Olmo
  10. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Barcelona: Rodri replaces M. Bernal
  11. 59'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by S. Camello, assisted by U. Lopez
    2-3
  12. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: P. Diaz replaces G. Bouare
  13. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: F. Perez replaces J. de Frutos
  14. 51'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Barcelona by F. Lejeune (o.g.)
    1-3
  15. 45'
    VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
  16. 32'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: A. Pedrosa replaces J. Vertrouwd
  17. 21'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Barcelona by Lamine Yamal, assisted by M. Bernal
    1-2
  18. 19'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Barcelona by Raphinha, assisted by X. Espart
    1-1
  19. 12'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by S. Camello, assisted by A. Garcia
    1-0

Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano
  • Date: Monday, August 31, 2026
  • Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Camp Nou

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Barcelona -750, Rayo Vallecano 3¢, draw 8¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (82¢/19¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Barcelona: 82.2%
  • Rayo Vallecano: 6.4%
  • Draw: 11.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Barcelona 3-0 Rayo Vallecano (10.4%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano? Prediction & correct score

Barcelona is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 82.2%.

The most likely correct score is Barcelona 3-0 Rayo Vallecano.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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Responsible gambling

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