Alaves vs. Villareal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Alaves vs. Villareal: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

• Teams: Alaves vs. Villareal
• Date: Friday, August 28, 2026
• Time: 3:30 PM ET
• Venue: Estadio Mendizorrotza

Current betting odds

• Moneyline: Alaves +220, Villareal +140, draw +260
• Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-117/+100)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

• Alaves: 32.2%
• Villareal: 42.5%
• Draw: 25.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Alaves 1-1 Villareal (12.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

• Today's best bets
• Moneyline probabilities
• Total goals probabilities
• Correct score probabilities

Unlock today's best bets for this match with Dimers Pro—cancel anytime.

Who will win Alaves vs. Villareal? Prediction & correct score

Villareal is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 42.5%.

The most likely correct score is Alaves 1-1 Villareal.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Alaves vs. Villareal, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.