Alaves vs. Villareal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Alaves vs. Villareal La Liga match on August 28, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
ESP sport icon
LA LIGA
Villareal
0
1
Estadio Mendizorrotza
Alaves
Estadio Mendizorrotza
AlavesALA
Score Summary
VillarealVIL
L. Boye (31')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Alaves
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Villareal
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    A. Sivera (Alaves) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    R. Veiga (Villarreal) cautioned
  3. 89'
    Yellow Card
    M. Diaz (Alaves) cautioned
  4. 86'
    Yellow Card
    N. Pepe (Villarreal) cautioned
  5. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: A. Manas replaces L. Boye
  6. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: T. Oluwaseyi replaces G. Mikautadze
  7. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: D. Suarez replaces A. Rebbach
  8. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: C. Protesoni replaces A. Perez
  9. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: I. Akhomach replaces G. Moreno
  10. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: A. Moleiro replaces T. Buchanan
  11. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: A. Perez replaces S. Comesana
  12. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: A. Freeman replaces S. Mourino
  13. 54'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: M. Diaz replaces T. Martinez
  14. 54'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: Yusi replaces M. Rodriguez
  15. 48'
    Yellow Card
    A. Rebbach (Alaves) cautioned
  16. 45'
    Yellow Card
    Q. Sanchez Flores (Alaves) cautioned
  17. 31'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Alaves by L. Boye, assisted by A. Perez
    0-1

Alaves vs. Villareal: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Alaves vs. Villareal
  • Date: Friday, August 28, 2026
  • Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Mendizorrotza

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Alaves 31¢, Villareal 42¢, draw 28¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (53¢/47¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Alaves: 32.5%
  • Villareal: 42.4%
  • Draw: 25.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Alaves 1-1 Villareal (11.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Alaves vs. Villareal? Prediction & correct score

Villareal is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 42.4%.

The most likely correct score is Alaves 1-1 Villareal.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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