Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano La Liga match on April 12, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Rayo Vallecano
0
3
Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
Mallorca
Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
MallorcaMCA
Score Summary
Rayo VallecanoRVC
V. Muriqi (36')
Soccer ball icon
V. Muriqi (40')
Soccer ball icon
J. Virgili (65')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Mallorca
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Rayo Vallecano
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Alemao replaces R. Nteka
  2. 81'
    Yellow Card
    D. Lopez (Mallorca) cautioned
  3. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mallorca: A. Sanchez replaces M. Morlanes
  4. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mallorca: A. Prats replaces P. Maffeo
  5. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: S. Camello replaces A. Garcia
  6. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mallorca: T. Asano replaces P. Torre
  7. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mallorca: M. Kumbulla replaces Samu Costa
  8. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: P. Chavarria replaces I. Akhomach
  9. 65'
    Yellow Card
    A. Ratiu (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
  10. 65'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Mallorca by J. Virgili, assisted by P. Torre
    0-3
  11. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mallorca: J. Virgili replaces Z. Luvumbo
  12. 53'
    Yellow Card
    R. Nteka (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: J. de Frutos replaces N. Mendy
  14. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: P. Ciss replaces O. Valentin
  15. 40'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Mallorca by V. Muriqi, assisted by Z. Luvumbo
    0-2
  16. 36'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Mallorca by V. Muriqi, assisted by Samu Costa
    0-1
  17. 32'
    Yellow Card
    F. Lejeune (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
  18. 23'
    Yellow Card
    N. Mendy (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned

Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano
  • Date: Sunday, April 12, 2026
  • Time: 10:15 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadi Mallorca Son Moix

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Mallorca +145, Rayo Vallecano +215, draw +230
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+120/-135)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Mallorca: 42.0%
  • Rayo Vallecano: 30.6%
  • Draw: 27.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Mallorca 1-1 Rayo Vallecano (12.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano? Prediction & correct score

Mallorca is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 42.0%.

The most likely correct score is Mallorca 1-1 Rayo Vallecano.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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