Athletic Bilbao vs. Villareal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Athletic Bilbao vs. Villareal La Liga match on April 12, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Villareal
2
1
Athletic Bilbao
Athletic BilbaoBIL
Score Summary
VillarealVIL
G. Guruzeta (84')
Soccer ball icon
S. Cardona (26')
Soccer ball icon
A. Gonzalez (45')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Athletic Bilbao
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Villareal
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    A. Gorosabel (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    G. Guruzeta (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
  3. 89'
    VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
  4. 84'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by G. Guruzeta, assisted by Y. Berchiche
    2-1
  5. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: N. Serrano replaces I. Williams
  6. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: D. Parejo replaces P. Gueye
  7. 78'
    Yellow Card
    T. Buchanan (Villarreal) cautioned
  8. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: A. Moleiro replaces T. Buchanan
  9. 75'
    Yellow Card
    S. Comesana (Villarreal) cautioned
  10. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: G. Mikautadze replaces T. Oluwaseyi
  11. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: N. Pepe replaces A. Gonzalez
  12. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Rego replaces I. Ruiz de Galarreta
  13. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Berenguer replaces O. Sancet
  14. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: R. Navarro replaces N. Williams
  15. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Gorosabel replaces I. Lekue
  16. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: R. Marin replaces P. Navarro
  17. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Villarreal by A. Gonzalez
    2-0
  18. 26'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Villarreal by S. Cardona, assisted by T. Oluwaseyi
    1-0
  19. 19'
    Yellow Card
    P. Navarro (Villarreal) cautioned

Athletic Bilbao vs. Villareal: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Athletic Bilbao vs. Villareal
  • Date: Sunday, April 12, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Athletic Bilbao +105, Villareal +275, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-110/-110)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Athletic Bilbao: 45.2%
  • Villareal: 29.3%
  • Draw: 25.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Villareal (12.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Athletic Bilbao vs. Villareal? Prediction & correct score

Athletic Bilbao is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 45.2%.

The most likely correct score is Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Villareal.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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