Athletic Bilbao vs. Villareal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Athletic Bilbao vs. Villareal La Liga match on April 12, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Villareal
2
1
Apr 12, 3:00 PM ET
Athletic Bilbao
Apr 12, 3:00 PM ET
Athletic BilbaoBIL
Score Summary
VillarealVIL
G. Guruzeta (84')
Soccer ball icon
S. Cardona (26')
Soccer ball icon
A. Gonzalez (45')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Athletic Bilbao
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Villareal
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
A. Gorosabel (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
G. Guruzeta (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
89'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
84'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by G. Guruzeta, assisted by Y. Berchiche
2-1
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: N. Serrano replaces I. Williams
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: D. Parejo replaces P. Gueye
78'
Yellow Card
T. Buchanan (Villarreal) cautioned
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: A. Moleiro replaces T. Buchanan
75'
Yellow Card
S. Comesana (Villarreal) cautioned
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: G. Mikautadze replaces T. Oluwaseyi
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: N. Pepe replaces A. Gonzalez
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Rego replaces I. Ruiz de Galarreta
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Berenguer replaces O. Sancet
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: R. Navarro replaces N. Williams
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Gorosabel replaces I. Lekue
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: R. Marin replaces P. Navarro
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Villarreal by A. Gonzalez
2-0
26'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Villarreal by S. Cardona, assisted by T. Oluwaseyi
1-0
19'
Yellow Card
P. Navarro (Villarreal) cautioned

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Athletic Bilbao vs. Villareal: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Athletic Bilbao vs. Villareal
  • Date: Sunday, April 12, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Athletic Bilbao +105, Villareal +275, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-110/-110)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Athletic Bilbao: 45.2%
  • Villareal: 29.3%
  • Draw: 25.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Villareal (12.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Athletic Bilbao vs. Villareal? Prediction & correct score

Athletic Bilbao is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 45.2%.

The most likely correct score is Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Villareal.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

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