Celta Vigo vs. Real Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Celta Vigo vs. Real Madrid La Liga match on March 6, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
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LA LIGA
Real Madrid
2
1
Celta Vigo
Celta VigoRCC
Score Summary
Real MadridRMA
B. Iglesias (25')
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A. Tchouameni (11')
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F. Valverde (90')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Celta Vigo
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Real Madrid
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Madrid: M. A. Moran replaces T. Pitarch
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    R. Asencio (Real Madrid) cautioned
  3. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: M. Vecino replaces I. Moriba
  4. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Madrid by F. Valverde
    2-1
  5. 86'
    Yellow Card
    A. Tchouameni (Real Madrid) cautioned
  6. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: I. Aspas replaces O. Mingueza
  7. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Madrid: G. Garcia replaces B. Diaz
  8. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: H. Alvarez replaces F. Jutgla
  9. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: J. El Abdellaoui replaces B. Iglesias
  10. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: F. Lopez replaces W. Swedberg
  11. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Madrid: C. Palacios replaces A. Guler
  12. 31'
    Yellow Card
    B. Iglesias (Celta Vigo) cautioned
  13. 25'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Celta Vigo by B. Iglesias, assisted by W. Swedberg
    1-1
  14. 11'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Madrid by A. Tchouameni, assisted by A. Guler
    1-0

Celta Vigo vs. Real Madrid: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Celta Vigo vs. Real Madrid
  • Date: Friday, March 6, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Celta Vigo +215, Real Madrid +140, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-105/-110)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Celta Vigo: 33.0%
  • Real Madrid: 40.9%
  • Draw: 26.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Celta Vigo 1-1 Real Madrid (12.4%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Celta Vigo vs. Real Madrid? Prediction & correct score

Real Madrid is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 40.9%.

The most likely correct score is Celta Vigo 1-1 Real Madrid.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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