Celta Vigo vs. Malaga prediction, odds, La Liga picks [9/13/2026]

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Sunday's La Liga match between Celta Vigo and Malaga, forming part of our La Liga predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model suggests a 56.5% chance of Celta Vigo winning, a 19.4% chance for Malaga, and a 24.1% chance of a draw. Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 52.8% chance of staying under., with a 52.4% likelihood of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Malaga +456, Celta Vigo -133
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (+122/-125)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Malaga @ +456 via Polymarket
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ +122 via Polymarket

According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 Celta Vigo win being the most probable:

• Celta Vigo 1-0 Malaga (13% probability)
• Celta Vigo 1-1 Malaga (11.4%)
• Celta Vigo 2-0 Malaga (11%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 47.6% chance of both sides finding the net and a 52.4% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Game info & kickoff details

Sunday's La Liga game between Celta Vigo and Malaga is scheduled to start in the USA at 8:00 AM ET.

• Who: Celta Vigo vs. Malaga
• Date: Sunday, September 13, 2026
• Time: 8:00 AM ET/5:00AM PT

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Celta Vigo has a 56.5% win probability on Sunday, Malaga has a 19.4% win probability, and there is a 24.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary La Liga prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.