Celta Vigo vs. Malaga prediction, odds, La Liga picks [9/13/2026]

La Liga action continues on Sunday at 8:00 AM ET as Malaga locks horns with Celta Vigo at .

Dimers' advanced La Liga model projects Celta Vigo as the most likely winner in this Celta Vigo vs. Malaga prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.

For more, take a look at our insight into the La Liga title race, and how Mourinho can lead Real Madrid back to the top.

Celta Vigo vs. Malaga prediction and odds

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Sunday's La Liga match between Celta Vigo and Malaga, forming part of our La Liga predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 56.7% chance of Celta Vigo winning, a 19.6% chance for Malaga, and a 23.8% chance of a draw. Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 51.3% chance of staying under., with a 51.2% chance of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Malaga +488, Celta Vigo -133
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (+105/-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Malaga @ +488 via Polymarket
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ +105 via BetRivers

According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Malaga to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 Celta Vigo win being the most probable:

• Celta Vigo 1-0 Malaga (12.5% probability)
• Celta Vigo 1-1 Malaga (11.3%)
• Celta Vigo 2-0 Malaga (10.7%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 48.8% chance of both sides finding the net and a 51.2% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Game info & kickoff details

Sunday's La Liga action between Celta Vigo and Malaga is scheduled to begin in the United States at 8:00 AM ET.

• Who: Celta Vigo vs. Malaga
• Date: Sunday, September 13, 2026
• Time: 8:00 AM ET/5:00AM PT

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Celta Vigo has a 56.7% win probability on Sunday, Malaga has a 19.6% win probability, and there is a 23.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary La Liga prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.