Burnley vs. Chelsea Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Burnley vs. Chelsea Premier League match on November 22, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.

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FINAL

PREMIER LEAGUE

FINAL

PREMIER LEAGUE

Chelsea

Nov 22, 7:30 AM ET Turf Moor

Burnley

Nov 22, 7:30 AM ET Turf Moor

BurnleyBUR

Score Summary

ChelseaCFC

P. Neto (37')

E. Fernandez (88')

Live Probabilities

Moneyline

Over / Under

Win %

Burnley
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Chelsea
100.0%

Win Probability

Match Timeline

88'

Goal scored for Chelsea by E. Fernandez, assisted by M. Guiu

2-0

84'

Substitution for Burnley: J. Laurent replaces Florentino

82'

H. Mejbri (Burnley) cautioned

81'

B. Badiashile (Chelsea) cautioned

78'

E. Maresca (Chelsea) cautioned

76'

Substitution for Chelsea: M. Guiu replaces Joao Pedro

76'

Substitution for Burnley: J. Bruun Larsen replaces L. Tchaouna

72'

Substitution for Burnley: L. Foster replaces J. Anthony

72'

Substitution for Burnley: H. Mejbri replaces L. Ugochukwu

72'

Substitution for Burnley: A. Broja replaces Z. Flemming

69'

Joao Pedro (Chelsea) cautioned

67'

Substitution for Chelsea: M. Gusto replaces L. Delap

49'

K. Walker (Burnley) cautioned

46'

Substitution for Chelsea: B. Badiashile replaces R. James

41'

P. Neto (Chelsea) cautioned

37'

Goal scored for Chelsea by P. Neto, assisted by J. Gittens

1-0

Burnley vs. Chelsea: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

Teams: Burnley vs. Chelsea
Date: Saturday, November 22, 2025
Time: 7:30 AM ET
Venue: Turf Moor

Current betting odds

Moneyline: Burnley +510, Chelsea -170, draw +335
Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-150/+125)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

Burnley: 18.3%
Chelsea: 60.8%
Draw: 20.9%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Burnley 1-2 Chelsea (10.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Burnley vs. Chelsea? Prediction & correct score

Chelsea is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 60.8%.

The most likely correct score is Burnley 1-2 Chelsea.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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