Texas-El Paso vs. New Mexico: College Football Week 5 Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' Texas-El Paso vs. New Mexico prediction for Saturday, October 3, 2026. Win probabilities, projected final score, current odds, and picks from our College Football machine learning models.
FINAL
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
FINAL
CFB sport icon
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Texas-El Paso
7
61
University Stadium (NM)
New Mexico
University Stadium (NM)
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Texas-El Paso
    0%
  • New Mexico
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Texas-El Paso
0 0 0 7 7
New Mexico
7 14 16 24 61
1 0 2 0 3 0 4 0 5 0 4 0 3 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 2 0 3 0 4 0 5 0 4 0 3 0 2 0 1 0
New Mexico
Texas-El Paso
3rd and 12 at the UTEP 23
Last Play
J.Moore rushed for 1 yard. Tackled by E.Brody; J.Flaker at UTEP 23.

Texas-El Paso vs. New Mexico: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: College Football Week 5

  • Teams: Texas-El Paso vs. New Mexico
  • Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026
  • Time: 4:00PM ET
  • Venue: University Stadium (NM)

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Texas-El Paso (+23.5, -105), New Mexico (-23.5, -112)
  • Moneyline: Texas-El Paso +1400, New Mexico -2400
  • Total (Over/Under): 47 points (-114/-106)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Texas-El Paso: 3.6%
  • New Mexico: 96.4%

These probabilities come from two machine learning models that assess more than 100 data points for each college football matchup, combining their outputs to project all our major betting markets.

Projected final score

Our predicted final score for this college football matchup is Texas-El Paso 12-36 New Mexico.

This prediction draws on each team's scoring trends and player stats, weighed across both of our data models

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

The numbers give the Texas-El Paso a win probability of 3.6%, while the New Mexico have a win probability of 96.4%.

Summary

Texas-El Paso faces off against New Mexico in college football action at University Stadium (NM) on Saturday, October 3, 2026.

Our Texas-El Paso vs. New Mexico predictions, built on real-time data and matchup-specific modeling, help guide your decisions.. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert college football predictions and the best college football bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes college football props, college football futures, college football odds, and the latest college football news.