Indiana State vs. South Dakota: College Football Week 5 Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' Indiana State vs. South Dakota prediction for Saturday, October 3, 2026. Win probabilities, projected final score, current odds, and picks from our College Football machine learning models.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Indiana State
Predicted score
21
:
39
The DakotaDome
South Dakota
The DakotaDome
Pre-Game Probabilities Last Update:

Spread

Indiana State +18.5
Spread
  • Indiana State
    51.0%
    DraftKingsDraftKings
  • South Dakota
    49.0%
    DraftKingsDraftKings

Indiana State vs. South Dakota: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: College Football Week 5

  • Teams: Indiana State vs. South Dakota
  • Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026
  • Time: 3:00PM ET
  • Venue: The DakotaDome

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Indiana State (+18.5, -110), South Dakota (-18.5, -112)
  • Moneyline: Indiana State +780, South Dakota -1500
  • Total (Over/Under): 60.5 points (-113/-110)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Indiana State: 7.9%
  • South Dakota: 92.1%

These probabilities come from two machine learning models that assess more than 100 data points for each college football matchup, combining their outputs to project all our major betting markets.

Projected final score

Our predicted final score for this college football matchup is Indiana State 20-39 South Dakota.

This prediction draws on each team's scoring trends and player stats, weighed across both of our data models

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

The numbers give the Indiana State a win probability of 7.9%, while the South Dakota have a win probability of 92.1%.

Summary

Indiana State faces off against South Dakota in college football action at The DakotaDome on Saturday, October 3, 2026.

Our Indiana State vs. South Dakota predictions, built on real-time data and matchup-specific modeling, help guide your decisions.. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert college football predictions and the best college football bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes college football props, college football futures, college football odds, and the latest college football news.